Football · England National League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Woking vs Sutton Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Woking1.49
Sutton Utd1.11
1X2
Woking
Draw
Sutton Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Woking
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Sutton Utd
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Woking
2–2–2
Sutton Utd
(6 last)
- Sutton Utd2-1Woking
- Woking1-1Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd1-1Woking
- Woking1-2Sutton Utd
- Woking2-0Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd0-1Woking
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Woking 1504 · Sutton Utd 1512
| Woking | Draw | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Woking | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Woking 2–2–2 Sutton Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England National League | Sutton Utd | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Woking |
| 23/09/25 England National League | Woking | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 05/05/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Woking |
| 28/09/24 England National League | Woking | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sutton Utd |
| 25/07/23 Club Friendly List | Woking | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 19/07/22 Club Friendly List | Sutton Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Woking |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldershot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Altrincham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carlisle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastleigh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halifax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forest Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gateshead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartlepool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kidderminster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scunthorpe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Solihull Moors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southend | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tamworth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wealdstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worthing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yeovil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Woking
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Eastbourne Borough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Morecambe England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Southampton U21 UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | Folkestone Invicta UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Tonbridge Angels UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | AFC Totton UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Woking vs Sutton Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Woking win (45%). Probabilities: Woking 45%, draw 27%, Sutton Utd 28%.
How many goals are expected in Woking vs Sutton Utd?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Woking 1.49 · Sutton Utd 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Woking vs Sutton Utd?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.