Football · England National League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Scunthorpe vs Yeovil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Scunthorpe1.56
Yeovil0.97
1X2
Scunthorpe
Draw
Yeovil
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Scunthorpe
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Yeovil
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Scunthorpe
3–3–0
Yeovil
(6 last)
- Yeovil0-3Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe1-0Yeovil
- Yeovil0-0Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe2-1Yeovil
- Scunthorpe1-1Yeovil
- Yeovil1-1Scunthorpe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Scunthorpe 1532 · Yeovil 1453
| Scunthorpe | Draw | Yeovil | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scunthorpe (rating 1532 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Scunthorpe: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Scunthorpe | Yeovil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 0.9 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Scunthorpe 3–3–0 Yeovil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League | Yeovil | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 08/11/25 England National League | Scunthorpe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Yeovil |
| 10/12/22 England National League | Yeovil | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 06/08/22 England National League | Scunthorpe | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yeovil |
| 28/02/15 England League 1 | Scunthorpe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Yeovil |
| 23/08/14 England League 1 | Yeovil | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldershot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Altrincham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carlisle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastleigh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halifax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forest Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gateshead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartlepool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kidderminster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scunthorpe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Solihull Moors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southend | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tamworth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wealdstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worthing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yeovil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Scunthorpe | Yeovil |
|---|---|---|
| Southend | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Eastleigh | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Scunthorpe (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Scunthorpe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | North Ferriby UK Friendlies |
4-1 | 6-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Buxton UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Appleby Frodingham FC Club Friendly List |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 11/04 | Brackley England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Gateshead England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
Yeovil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Farnham UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Wycombe Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Melksham Town Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | York England National League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Truro City England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/03 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Scunthorpe vs Yeovil?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Scunthorpe win (50%). Probabilities: Scunthorpe 50%, draw 27%, Yeovil 23%.
How many goals are expected in Scunthorpe vs Yeovil?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Scunthorpe 1.56 · Yeovil 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Scunthorpe vs Yeovil?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.