Football · England National League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Harrogate Town1.91
Solihull Moors0.93
1X2
Harrogate Town
Draw
Solihull Moors
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Harrogate Town
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Solihull Moors
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Harrogate Town
3–1–2
Solihull Moors
(6 last)
- Harrogate Town2-2Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors2-0Harrogate Town
- Harrogate Town3-1Solihull Moors
- Harrogate Town6-0Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors1-0Harrogate Town
- Solihull Moors0-1Harrogate Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harrogate Town 1546 · Solihull Moors 1487
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harrogate Town (rating 1546 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Harrogate Town: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Harrogate Town | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harrogate Town 3–1–2 Solihull Moors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/19 England National League | Harrogate Town | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Solihull Moors |
| 04/12/18 England National League | Solihull Moors | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Harrogate Town |
| 25/08/18 England National League | Harrogate Town | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Solihull Moors |
| 23/01/16 England National League North | Harrogate Town | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Solihull Moors |
| 05/09/15 England National League North | Solihull Moors | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Harrogate Town |
| 24/01/15 England National League North | Solihull Moors | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Harrogate Town |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldershot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Altrincham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carlisle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastleigh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halifax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forest Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gateshead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartlepool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kidderminster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scunthorpe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Solihull Moors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southend | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tamworth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wealdstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worthing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yeovil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harrogate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Doncaster UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | South Shields UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Cleethorpes Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Guiseley UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Solihull Moors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Northampton UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | Burton Albion UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Hereford FC UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Hednesford Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Birmingham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Alvechurch UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Knowle FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Yeovil England National League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Harrogate Town win (60%). Probabilities: Harrogate Town 60%, draw 23%, Solihull Moors 17%.
How many goals are expected in Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Harrogate Town 1.91 · Solihull Moors 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.