Football · England National League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Eastleigh vs Gateshead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Eastleigh1.56
Gateshead1.24
1X2
Eastleigh
Draw
Gateshead
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Eastleigh
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Gateshead
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastleigh
1–2–3
Gateshead
(6 last)
- Gateshead1-3Eastleigh
- Eastleigh0-2Gateshead
- Eastleigh1-1Gateshead
- Gateshead2-1Eastleigh
- Gateshead1-1Eastleigh
- Eastleigh0-6Gateshead
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastleigh 1435 · Gateshead 1483
| Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gateshead (rating 1435 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Gateshead: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastleigh | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastleigh 1–2–3 Gateshead
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 England National League | Gateshead | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Eastleigh |
| 16/08/25 England National League | Eastleigh | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Gateshead |
| 25/02/25 England National League | Eastleigh | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gateshead |
| 31/08/24 England National League | Gateshead | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Eastleigh |
| 06/02/24 England National League | Gateshead | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Eastleigh |
| 09/09/23 England National League | Eastleigh | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Gateshead |
Standings · England National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldershot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Altrincham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carlisle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastleigh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halifax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forest Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gateshead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartlepool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kidderminster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scunthorpe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Solihull Moors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southend | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tamworth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wealdstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worthing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yeovil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastleigh | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Altrincham | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastleigh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Farnham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Crawley Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Valenciennes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southampton UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Poole Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Altrincham England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Yeovil England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Gateshead
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Spennymoor Town Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | South Shields UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Newcastle Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | Hebburn Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Heaton Stannington UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Blyth Town FC Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Woking England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastleigh vs Gateshead?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastleigh win (44%). Probabilities: Eastleigh 44%, draw 26%, Gateshead 30%.
How many goals are expected in Eastleigh vs Gateshead?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Eastleigh 1.56 · Gateshead 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastleigh vs Gateshead?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.