Football · England National League · 08/08, 16:00

Result and prediction: Carlisle vs Worthing

Final result

Carlisle 2-3 Worthing

Half time: 1-0

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Carlisle 56%

56% 23% 20%

CarlisleDrawWorthing

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Carlisle	Draw	Worthing
Our model	56%	25%	19%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (goals) 2.82 · actual 5

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.