Football · England National League · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Altrincham vs Southend
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Altrincham1.07
Southend1.75
1X2
Altrincham
Draw
Southend
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Altrincham
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Southend
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Altrincham
3–3
Southend
(6 last)
- Altrincham1-0Southend
- Southend3-0Altrincham
- Southend2-1Altrincham
- Altrincham2-0Southend
- Southend2-1Altrincham
- Altrincham2-0Southend
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Altrincham 1507 · Southend 1505
| Altrincham | Draw | Southend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 26% | 52% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Altrincham | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3.3 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Altrincham 3–0–3 Southend
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England National League | Altrincham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Southend |
| 22/11/25 England National League | Southend | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Altrincham |
| 08/03/25 England National League | Southend | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Altrincham |
| 16/11/24 England National League | Altrincham | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Southend |
| 27/02/24 England National League | Southend | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Altrincham |
| 11/11/23 England National League | Altrincham | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Southend |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldershot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Altrincham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carlisle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastleigh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Halifax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Forest Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gateshead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartlepool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kidderminster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scunthorpe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Solihull Moors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southend | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tamworth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wealdstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Worthing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yeovil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Altrincham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Man Utd U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
2-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Chorley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Gateshead England National League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | York England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
Southend
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Leyton Orient UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/07 | Northampton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | West Ham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | Cambridge Utd Club Friendly List |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Wealdstone England FA Trophy |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Halifax England National League |
3-1 | 6-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Altrincham vs Southend?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Southend win (53%). Probabilities: Altrincham 22%, draw 25%, Southend 53%.
How many goals are expected in Altrincham vs Southend?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Altrincham 1.07 · Southend 1.75), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Altrincham vs Southend?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.