Football · Dominica Premier League · 12/07, 00:30
Prediction: Promex Harlem United SC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Promex Harlem United SC1.27
Mahaut Soca Strikers2.23
1X2
Promex Harlem United SC
Draw
Mahaut Soca Strikers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Promex Harlem United SC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Mahaut Soca Strikers
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Promex Harlem United SC
2–1–2
Mahaut Soca Strikers
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Promex Harlem United SC 1460 · Mahaut Soca Strikers 1549
| Promex Harlem United SC | Draw | Mahaut Soca Strikers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mahaut Soca Strikers (rating 1460 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Promex Harlem United SC | Mahaut Soca Strikers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Promex Harlem United SC 2–1–2 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Dominica Premier League | Mahaut Soca Strikers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 06/08/25 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 0-6 HT 0-5 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
| 20/04/25 Dominica Premier League | Mahaut Soca Strikers | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 13/07/24 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
| 06/09/20 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 6-2 HT 3-2 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Promex Harlem United SC | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| Mighty Avengers | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| We United FC | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Portsmouth Bombers | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Middleham United FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Sagicor South East FC | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Bath Estate | 3-2 W | 5-3 W |
| Pointe Michel FC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Dublanc FC | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mahaut Soca Strikers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Promex Harlem United SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/06 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Mahaut Soca Strikers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
4-2 | 5-3 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Promex Harlem United SC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mahaut Soca Strikers win (58%). Probabilities: Promex Harlem United SC 21%, draw 21%, Mahaut Soca Strikers 58%.
How many goals are expected in Promex Harlem United SC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Promex Harlem United SC 1.27 · Mahaut Soca Strikers 2.23), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Promex Harlem United SC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.