Football · Dominica Premier League · 05/07, 22:00

Prediction: Middleham United FC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers

Expected goals: 4.31 (Middleham United FC 1.16 · Mahaut Soca Strikers 3.16). The model gives 10% home, 13% draw, 77% away. Over 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-3.

Over its last 10 matches, Middleham United FC sits at 1-1-8 (W-D-L), while Mahaut Soca Strikers arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Middleham United FC won 1 and Mahaut Soca Strikers 2.

77%2
10% 13% 77%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Middleham United FC 1407 · Mahaut Soca Strikers 1543
Middleham United FCDrawMahaut Soca Strikers
Our model10%14%76%
Market10%13%77%
Estimated total (ours) 4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.31Middleham United FC 1.16 · Mahaut Soca Strikers 3.16
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mahaut Soca Strikers (rating 1407 vs 1543).
  • H2H favours Mahaut Soca Strikers: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Middleham United FCMahaut Soca Strikers
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 3.12.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.51.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.62.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.42.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Middleham United FC 102 Mahaut Soca Strikers

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Dominica Premier League
Mahaut Soca Strikers3-2
HT 2-0
Middleham United FC
06/07/25
Dominica Premier League
Mahaut Soca Strikers5-3
HT 3-2
Middleham United FC
19/08/24
Dominica Premier League
Middleham United FC6-0
HT 1-0
Mahaut Soca Strikers

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiddleham United FCMahaut Soca Strikers
Portsmouth Bombers 1-1 D 0-1 L
Dublanc FC 1-3 L 1-3 L
Sagicor South East FC 1-4 L 4-0 W
Pointe Michel FC 3-4 L 1-1 D
Promex Harlem United SC 2-1 W 2-0 W
Mighty Avengers 0-3 L 3-0 W
We United FC 1-2 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mahaut Soca Strikers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Middleham United FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-1 36 D
14/06 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-3 44 L
07/06 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-4 41 L
03/06 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
1-3 3-4 62 L
30/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 2-1 31 W
27/05 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
0-1 0-3 33 L
13/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-2 2-3 33 L
09/05 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
0-2 1-2 77 L
27/08 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-2 0-1 33 L
18/08 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
1-3 2-9 00 L

Mahaut Soca Strikers

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-3 32 L
15/06 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 2-0 45 W
06/06 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
4-2 5-3 113 W
31/05 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 4-2 22 W
25/05 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-1 63 D
16/05 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 4-0 41 W
13/05 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 3-2 43 W
10/05 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
2-0 3-0 93 W
03/05 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 0-1 50 L
21/02 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-2 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Middleham United FC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mahaut Soca Strikers win (77%). Probabilities: Middleham United FC 10%, draw 13%, Mahaut Soca Strikers 77%.

How many goals are expected in Middleham United FC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers?

The model expects 4.31 goals (Middleham United FC 1.16 · Mahaut Soca Strikers 3.16), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Middleham United FC vs Mahaut Soca Strikers?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.