Football · Dominica Premier League · 10/07, 01:00

Prediction: Sagicor South East FC vs We United FC

Expected goals: 4.1 (Sagicor South East FC 2.88 · We United FC 1.22). The model gives 70% home, 17% draw, 12% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Sagicor South East FC sits at 8-0-2 (W-D-L), while We United FC arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sagicor South East FC won 2 and We United FC 2.

70%1
70% 17% 12%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sagicor South East FC 1580 · We United FC 1471
Sagicor South East FCDrawWe United FC
Our model71%16%13%
Market70%18%12%
Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.1Sagicor South East FC 2.88 · We United FC 1.22
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagicor South East FC (rating 1580 vs 1471).
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sagicor South East FCWe United FC
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 1.41.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.70.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.74.6 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.23.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagicor South East FC 202 We United FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Dominica Premier League
We United FC2-6
HT 2-2
Sagicor South East FC
20/10/25
Dominica President Cup
We United FC2-1
HT 0-1
Sagicor South East FC
17/08/24
Dominica Premier League
We United FC2-1
HT 1-1
Sagicor South East FC
25/06/23
Dominica Premier League
Sagicor South East FC2-1
HT 1-1
We United FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSagicor South East FCWe United FC
Portsmouth Bombers 6-1 W 2-3 L
Middleham United FC 4-1 W 2-1 W
Bath Estate 3-0 W 2-1 W
Promex Harlem United SC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Mahaut Soca Strikers 0-4 L 2-4 L
Dublanc FC 2-3 L 1-3 L
Mighty Avengers 5-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sagicor South East FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sagicor South East FC

WWLLWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
3-0 6-1 97 W
20/06 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
3-1 5-2 95 W
14/06 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-2 6-2 23 W
07/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 4-1 71 W
01/06 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
0-0 3-0 72 W
24/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-0 85 W
16/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-2 0-4 71 L
11/05 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 2-3 25 L
01/05 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
2-0 5-1 10 W
25/04 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
1-0 2-0 51 W

We United FC

LWWDLLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
1-0 2-1 184 W
19/06 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 0-0 30 D
14/06 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
2-2 2-6 73 L
08/06 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
0-2 1-3 34 L
31/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-2 2-4 102 L
23/05 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
2-1 2-3 23 L
18/05 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-1 51 D
14/05 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
1-0 3-1 102 W
09/05 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 2-1 47 W
23/11 Dublanc FC
Dominica President Cup
0-3 1-4 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sagicor South East FC vs We United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagicor South East FC win (70%). Probabilities: Sagicor South East FC 70%, draw 17%, We United FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Sagicor South East FC vs We United FC?

The model expects 4.1 goals (Sagicor South East FC 2.88 · We United FC 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sagicor South East FC vs We United FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.