Football · Dominica Premier League · 06/07, 00:00

Prediction: Sagicor South East FC vs Portsmouth Bombers

Expected goals: 3.85 (Sagicor South East FC 2.43 · Portsmouth Bombers 1.41). The model gives 59% home, 21% draw, 20% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, Sagicor South East FC is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Portsmouth Bombers 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Sagicor South East FC and 1 for Portsmouth Bombers, with 2 draws.

59%1
59% 21% 20%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sagicor South East FC 1567 · Portsmouth Bombers 1532
Sagicor South East FCDrawPortsmouth Bombers
Our model59%20%21%
Market59%21%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.85Sagicor South East FC 2.43 · Portsmouth Bombers 1.41
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sagicor South East FC: 2-2-1.
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sagicor South East FCPortsmouth Bombers
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 1.51.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.80.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.72.7 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.22.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagicor South East FC 221 Portsmouth Bombers

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Dominica Premier League
Portsmouth Bombers0-2
HT 0-1
Sagicor South East FC
22/11/25
Dominica President Cup
Sagicor South East FC2-2
HT 1-1
Portsmouth Bombers
07/08/25
Dominica Premier League
Sagicor South East FC0-3
HT 0-3
Portsmouth Bombers
18/04/25
Dominica Premier League
Portsmouth Bombers2-3
HT 1-0
Sagicor South East FC
27/06/21
Dominica Premier League
Sagicor South East FC0-0
HT 0-0
Portsmouth Bombers

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSagicor South East FCPortsmouth Bombers
Pointe Michel FC 5-2 W 6-2 W
We United FC 6-2 W 3-2 W
Middleham United FC 4-1 W 1-1 D
Bath Estate 3-0 W 1-1 D
Promex Harlem United SC 1-0 W 2-4 L
Mahaut Soca Strikers 0-4 L 1-0 W
Dublanc FC 2-3 L 0-4 L
Mighty Avengers 5-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 2 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sagicor South East FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sagicor South East FC

DWWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
3-1 5-2 95 W
14/06 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-2 6-2 23 W
07/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 4-1 71 W
01/06 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
0-0 3-0 72 W
24/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-0 85 W
16/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-2 0-4 71 L
11/05 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 2-3 25 L
01/05 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
2-0 5-1 10 W
25/04 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
1-0 2-0 51 W
22/11 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica President Cup
1-1 2-2 96 D

Portsmouth Bombers

WLWDLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-1 36 D
13/06 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
1-1 3-2 W
07/06 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-1 2-4 93 L
31/05 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
3-0 6-2 41 W
23/05 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-2 3-2 73 W
18/05 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
0-1 0-4 01 L
11/05 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
1-0 1-1 94 D
03/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-0 90 W
25/04 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
0-1 0-2 101 L
21/02 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 2-1 94 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sagicor South East FC vs Portsmouth Bombers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagicor South East FC win (59%). Probabilities: Sagicor South East FC 59%, draw 21%, Portsmouth Bombers 20%.

How many goals are expected in Sagicor South East FC vs Portsmouth Bombers?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Sagicor South East FC 2.43 · Portsmouth Bombers 1.41), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sagicor South East FC vs Portsmouth Bombers?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.