Football · Dominica Premier League · 04/07, 01:00

Prediction: Pointe Michel FC vs Dublanc FC

Expected goals: 4.74 (Pointe Michel FC 1.37 · Dublanc FC 3.37). The model gives 8% home, 11% draw, 81% away. Under 4.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-3.

On recent form, Pointe Michel FC is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Dublanc FC 10-0-0 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pointe Michel FC won 0 and Dublanc FC 3, with 1 draw.

81%2
8% 11% 81%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pointe Michel FC 1468 · Dublanc FC 1647
Pointe Michel FCDrawDublanc FC
Our model11%14%75%
Market6%9%86%
Estimated total (ours) 4.74 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.74Pointe Michel FC 1.37 · Dublanc FC 3.37
Over / Under 4.75Under 4.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dublanc FC (rating 1468 vs 1647).
  • H2H favours Dublanc FC: 3-1-0.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pointe Michel FCDublanc FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 2.94.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 1.31.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 53.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.13.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pointe Michel FC 013 Dublanc FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/06/25
Dominica Premier League
Pointe Michel FC0-8
HT 0-3
Dublanc FC
26/05/25
Dominica Premier League
Dublanc FC4-2
HT 1-1
Pointe Michel FC
11/05/24
Dominica Premier League
Pointe Michel FC3-3
HT 2-2
Dublanc FC
04/03/23
Dominica Premier League
Dublanc FC4-1
HT 1-1
Pointe Michel FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPointe Michel FCDublanc FC
Sagicor South East FC 2-5 L 3-2 W
Bath Estate 2-3 L 3-0 W
Middleham United FC 4-3 W 3-1 W
Portsmouth Bombers 2-6 L 4-0 W
Mahaut Soca Strikers 1-1 D 3-1 W
Promex Harlem United SC 3-0 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dublanc FC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pointe Michel FC

LDLWDLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
1-3 2-5 25 L
13/06 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
2-1 2-3 114 L
06/06 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
1-1 3-1 34 W
03/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
3-1 4-3 52 W
31/05 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
0-3 2-6 91 L
25/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-1 13 D
09/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
1-0 3-0 87 W
12/10 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica President Cup
2-1 2-3 54 L
11/08 DS FC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 00 D
04/08 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 4-7 63 L

Dublanc FC

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 3-1 132 W
14/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 3-1 34 W
08/06 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 3-1 84 W
24/05 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
1-0 3-0 111 W
18/05 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
1-0 4-0 121 W
11/05 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 3-2 35 W
03/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
3-0 5-0 45 W
23/11 We United FC
Dominica President Cup
3-0 4-1 56 W
19/10 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
4-1 10-1 66 W
18/08 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
3-1 9-2 00 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pointe Michel FC vs Dublanc FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dublanc FC win (81%). Probabilities: Pointe Michel FC 8%, draw 11%, Dublanc FC 81%.

How many goals are expected in Pointe Michel FC vs Dublanc FC?

The model expects 4.74 goals (Pointe Michel FC 1.37 · Dublanc FC 3.37), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pointe Michel FC vs Dublanc FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.