Football · Germany 3. Liga · 01/11, 19:30

Prediction: Alemannia Aachen vs SC Preussen Munster

Team pages: Alemannia Aachen · SC Preussen Munster

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Alemannia Aachen1.93

SC Preussen Munster1.29

1X2

51% 25% 24%

Alemannia Aachen Draw SC Preussen Munster

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Alemannia Aachen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLWW

SC Preussen Munster 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWDLDLLW

Head-to-head

Alemannia Aachen 1–5 SC Preussen Munster (6 last)

SC Preussen Munster4-0Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen4-2SC Preussen Munster
Alemannia Aachen0-2SC Preussen Munster
SC Preussen Munster2-1Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen1-4SC Preussen Munster
SC Preussen Munster1-0Alemannia Aachen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alemannia Aachen 1499 · SC Preussen Munster 1469

	Alemannia Aachen	Draw	SC Preussen Munster
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SC Preussen Munster: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alemannia Aachen	SC Preussen Munster
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	1.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.5	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.93 ★
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:24 +6’	1.80	3.60	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:16 +188’	1.85	3.91	3.67
10:15 +1’	1.83▼	3.93▲	3.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alemannia Aachen 1–0–5 SC Preussen Munster

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/23 Germany Regionalliga West	SC Preussen Munster	4-0 HT 1-0	Alemannia Aachen
24/09/22 Germany Regionalliga West	Alemannia Aachen	4-2 HT 2-2	SC Preussen Munster
11/12/21 Germany Regionalliga West	Alemannia Aachen	0-2 HT 0-2	SC Preussen Munster
14/08/21 Germany Regionalliga West	SC Preussen Munster	2-1 HT 1-1	Alemannia Aachen
03/03/21 Germany Regionalliga West	Alemannia Aachen	1-4 HT 0-2	SC Preussen Munster
16/12/20 Germany Regionalliga West	SC Preussen Munster	1-0 HT 0-0	Alemannia Aachen

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	11	8	1	2	28	14	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	11	7	2	2	30	15	23
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
4	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26	20	17
5	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
6	FC Ingolstadt	11	5	2	4	15	16	17
7	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20	17	16
8	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	11	5	1	5	21	19	16
9	Hansa Rostock	11	4	4	3	18	20	16
10	Wehen SV	11	4	3	4	19	16	15
11	SC Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19	21	15
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	12	14	15
13	SV Meppen	11	4	2	5	16	17	14
14	VfB Stuttgart II	11	4	2	5	18	20	14
15	Verl	11	3	3	5	16	22	12
16	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13	25	12
17	Wurzburger Kickers	11	3	2	6	15	23	11
18	Jahn Regensburg	11	2	4	5	20	20	10
19	SC Fortuna Köln	11	2	4	5	8	12	10
20	TSV Havelse	11	2	3	6	16	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alemannia Aachen	SC Preussen Munster
VfB Stuttgart II	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Viktoria Köln	2-5 L	1-4 L
Fortuna Dusseldorf	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Ingolstadt	3-0 W	1-1 D
SC Fortuna Köln	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Alemannia Aachen (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alemannia Aachen

DLWDLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
17/10	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
14/10	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
11/10	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-4	2-5	8	3	L
19/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
12/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	8	D
04/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
29/08	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	6	L
15/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D

SC Preussen Munster

DLWWDLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	4	L
14/10	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
09/10	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-3	7	5	D
20/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
16/09	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-3	3-3	2	1	D
13/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-3	1-4	5	7	L
15/08	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alemannia Aachen vs SC Preussen Munster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alemannia Aachen win (51%). Probabilities: Alemannia Aachen 51%, draw 25%, SC Preussen Munster 24%.

How many goals are expected in Alemannia Aachen vs SC Preussen Munster?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Alemannia Aachen 1.93 · SC Preussen Munster 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alemannia Aachen vs SC Preussen Munster?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.