Football · Germany 3. Liga · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: SC Preussen Munster vs MSV Duisburg

Team pages: SC Preussen Munster · MSV Duisburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

SC Preussen Munster1.75

MSV Duisburg1.84

1X2

36% 24% 40%

SC Preussen Munster Draw MSV Duisburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Preussen Munster 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWDLDLLW

MSV Duisburg 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWDLD

Head-to-head

SC Preussen Munster 1–2–3 MSV Duisburg (6 last)

SC Preussen Munster3-1MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg0-0SC Preussen Munster
MSV Duisburg1-1SC Preussen Munster
SC Preussen Munster1-4MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg2-0SC Preussen Munster
MSV Duisburg3-2SC Preussen Munster

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSV Duisburg (rating 1471 vs 1539).
H2H favours MSV Duisburg: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Preussen Munster	MSV Duisburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	2.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.44▲	Pinn 3.44
X	3.85 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.90
2	1.93 → 1.94▲	Pinn 1.94

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:13 +7’	3.40	3.85	1.93
20:44 +10’	3.44▲	3.90▲	1.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Preussen Munster 1–2–3 MSV Duisburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/02/24 Germany 3. Liga	SC Preussen Munster	3-1 HT 0-0	MSV Duisburg
30/09/23 Germany 3. Liga	MSV Duisburg	0-0 HT 0-0	SC Preussen Munster
01/07/22 Club Friendly List	MSV Duisburg	1-1 HT 0-0	SC Preussen Munster
01/02/20 Germany 3. Liga	SC Preussen Munster	1-4 HT 1-2	MSV Duisburg
31/07/19 Germany 3. Liga	MSV Duisburg	2-0 HT 0-0	SC Preussen Munster
12/02/17 Germany 3. Liga	MSV Duisburg	3-2 HT 1-0	SC Preussen Munster

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	12	8	2	2	31	15	26
2	MSV Duisburg	12	8	2	2	31	17	26
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
4	Wehen SV	12	5	3	4	23	17	18
5	FC Ingolstadt	12	5	3	4	16	17	18
6	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26	20	17
7	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
8	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20	17	16
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	12	5	1	6	21	20	16
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	4	4	12	14	16
11	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	19	22	16
12	SV Meppen	12	4	3	5	16	17	15
13	VfB Stuttgart II	12	4	3	5	21	23	15
14	SC Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19	21	15
15	Wurzburger Kickers	12	4	2	6	17	24	14
16	Jahn Regensburg	12	3	4	5	22	21	13
17	Verl	12	3	3	6	17	26	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13	25	12
19	SC Fortuna Köln	12	2	4	6	9	14	10
20	TSV Havelse	12	2	4	6	17	26	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Preussen Munster	MSV Duisburg
Fortuna Dusseldorf	1-2 L	1-2 L
Saarbrucken	3-3 D	4-2 W
VfB Stuttgart II	2-1 W	3-3 D
TSV Havelse	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Viktoria Köln	1-4 L	1-1 D
FC Ingolstadt	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Preussen Munster

DLWWDLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	4	L
14/10	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
09/10	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-3	7	5	D
20/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
16/09	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-3	3-3	2	1	D
13/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-3	1-4	5	7	L
15/08	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

MSV Duisburg

WWLWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	3-1	3-3	3	8	D
24/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
18/10	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
13/10	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	3-0	4-2	5	2	W
10/10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	3	9	W
20/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	3-1	4-1	8	3	W
15/09	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
12/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	9	W
29/08	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Preussen Munster vs MSV Duisburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MSV Duisburg win (40%). Probabilities: SC Preussen Munster 36%, draw 24%, MSV Duisburg 40%.

How many goals are expected in SC Preussen Munster vs MSV Duisburg?

The model expects 3.59 goals (SC Preussen Munster 1.75 · MSV Duisburg 1.84), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Preussen Munster vs MSV Duisburg?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.