Football · Germany 3. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FC Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Team pages: FC Ingolstadt · Fortuna Dusseldorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

FC Ingolstadt1.49

Fortuna Dusseldorf1.12

1X2

44% 28% 27%

FC Ingolstadt Draw Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ingolstadt 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWWD

Fortuna Dusseldorf 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWLDD

Head-to-head

FC Ingolstadt 2–4 Fortuna Dusseldorf (6 last)

Fortuna Dusseldorf3-0FC Ingolstadt
FC Ingolstadt1-2Fortuna Dusseldorf
FC Ingolstadt0-1Fortuna Dusseldorf
Fortuna Dusseldorf3-0FC Ingolstadt
FC Ingolstadt1-0Fortuna Dusseldorf
FC Ingolstadt3-2Fortuna Dusseldorf

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fortuna Dusseldorf: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ingolstadt	Fortuna Dusseldorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.77 → 2.77	Pinn 2.77
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.60
2	2.37 → 2.37	Pinn 2.37

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:23 +62’	2.77	3.60	2.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ingolstadt 2–0–4 Fortuna Dusseldorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/22 Germany Bundesliga II	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Ingolstadt
25/09/21 Germany Bundesliga II	FC Ingolstadt	1-2 HT 0-0	Fortuna Dusseldorf
12/09/20 Germany DFB Pokal	FC Ingolstadt	0-1 HT 0-0	Fortuna Dusseldorf
22/04/18 Germany Bundesliga II	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Ingolstadt
19/11/17 Germany Bundesliga II	FC Ingolstadt	1-0 HT 1-0	Fortuna Dusseldorf
17/04/15 Germany Bundesliga II	FC Ingolstadt	3-2 HT 0-1	Fortuna Dusseldorf

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	12	8	2	2	31	15	26
2	MSV Duisburg	12	8	2	2	31	17	26
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
4	Wehen SV	12	5	3	4	23	17	18
5	FC Ingolstadt	12	5	3	4	16	17	18
6	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26	20	17
7	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
8	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20	17	16
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	12	5	1	6	21	20	16
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	4	4	12	14	16
11	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	19	22	16
12	SV Meppen	12	4	3	5	16	17	15
13	VfB Stuttgart II	12	4	3	5	21	23	15
14	SC Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19	21	15
15	Wurzburger Kickers	12	4	2	6	17	24	14
16	Jahn Regensburg	12	3	4	5	22	21	13
17	Verl	12	3	3	6	17	26	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13	25	12
19	SC Fortuna Köln	12	2	4	6	9	14	10
20	TSV Havelse	12	2	4	6	17	26	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ingolstadt	Fortuna Dusseldorf
MSV Duisburg	2-1 W	2-1 W
Saarbrucken	1-0 W	1-3 L
Alemannia Aachen	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ingolstadt

WLWLLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
24/10	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
17/10	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
14/10	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
11/10	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-4	9	5	L
19/09	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	5	L
16/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
12/09	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
04/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	1	4	L
29/08	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W

Fortuna Dusseldorf

WDWWLDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
24/10	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
17/10	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
14/10	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
11/10	Verl Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
19/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
15/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
06/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
28/08	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ingolstadt win (44%). Probabilities: FC Ingolstadt 44%, draw 28%, Fortuna Dusseldorf 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?

The model expects 2.61 goals (FC Ingolstadt 1.49 · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1.12), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.