Football · Germany 3. Liga · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: TSV Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt
Team pages: TSV Havelse · FC Ingolstadt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
TSV Havelse1.58
FC Ingolstadt1.88
1X2
TSV Havelse
Draw
FC Ingolstadt
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
TSV Havelse
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FC Ingolstadt
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
TSV Havelse
0–2
FC Ingolstadt
(2 last)
- FC Ingolstadt3-2TSV Havelse
- TSV Havelse2-6FC Ingolstadt
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ingolstadt (rating 1416 vs 1516).
- H2H favours FC Ingolstadt: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TSV Havelse | FC Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Havelse 0–0–2 FC Ingolstadt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Germany 3. Liga | FC Ingolstadt | 3-2 HT 0-1 | TSV Havelse |
| 17/09/25 Germany 3. Liga | TSV Havelse | 2-6 HT 2-2 | FC Ingolstadt |
Standings · Germany 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Saarbrucken | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 17 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| 6 | FC Ingolstadt | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 9 | Wehen SV | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | SV Meppen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | SC Preussen Munster | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Verl | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 12 |
| 16 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 12 |
| 17 | Wurzburger Kickers | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 11 |
| 18 | Jahn Regensburg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 10 |
| 19 | SC Fortuna Köln | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 20 | TSV Havelse | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TSV Havelse | FC Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| SC Preussen Munster | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Rot-Weiss Essen | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Ingolstadt (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TSV Havelse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/10 | Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/10 | Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/09 | SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
FC Ingolstadt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/10 | Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TSV Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Ingolstadt win (44%). Probabilities: TSV Havelse 32%, draw 24%, FC Ingolstadt 44%.
How many goals are expected in TSV Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt?
The model expects 3.47 goals (TSV Havelse 1.58 · FC Ingolstadt 1.88), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in TSV Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.