Football · Germany 3. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen

Team pages: Rot-Weiss Essen · Alemannia Aachen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Rot-Weiss Essen1.92

Alemannia Aachen1.28

1X2

51% 24% 24%

Rot-Weiss Essen Draw Alemannia Aachen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Rot-Weiss Essen 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDWLWW

Alemannia Aachen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Rot-Weiss Essen 1–2–3 Alemannia Aachen (6 last)

Alemannia Aachen3-3Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen2-3Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen2-0Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen1-2Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen1-3Rot-Weiss Essen
Alemannia Aachen1-1Rot-Weiss Essen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rot-Weiss Essen (rating 1540 vs 1499).
H2H favours Alemannia Aachen: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rot-Weiss Essen	Alemannia Aachen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 4.8	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	5.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.79

Under 32.01

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:50

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.82 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.83
X	3.96 → 4.01▲	Pinn 4.01
2	3.67 → 3.72▲	Pinn 3.72

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:52 +23’	1.82	3.96	3.67
20:48 +2’	1.83▲	4.01▲	3.72▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rot-Weiss Essen 1–2–3 Alemannia Aachen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	3-3 HT 2-1	Rot-Weiss Essen
31/08/25 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	2-3 HT 0-2	Alemannia Aachen
19/01/25 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	2-0 HT 0-0	Rot-Weiss Essen
03/08/24 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	1-2 HT 1-1	Alemannia Aachen
16/07/22 Europe Friendlies	Alemannia Aachen	1-3 HT 0-1	Rot-Weiss Essen
10/04/22 Germany Regionalliga West	Alemannia Aachen	1-1 HT 0-1	Rot-Weiss Essen

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	12	8	2	2	31	15	26
2	MSV Duisburg	12	8	2	2	31	17	26
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
4	Wehen SV	12	5	3	4	23	17	18
5	FC Ingolstadt	12	5	3	4	16	17	18
6	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26	20	17
7	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
8	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20	17	16
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	12	5	1	6	21	20	16
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	4	4	12	14	16
11	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	19	22	16
12	SV Meppen	12	4	3	5	16	17	15
13	VfB Stuttgart II	12	4	3	5	21	23	15
14	SC Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19	21	15
15	Wurzburger Kickers	12	4	2	6	17	24	14
16	Jahn Regensburg	12	3	4	5	22	21	13
17	Verl	12	3	3	6	17	26	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13	25	12
19	SC Fortuna Köln	12	2	4	6	9	14	10
20	TSV Havelse	12	2	4	6	17	26	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rot-Weiss Essen	Alemannia Aachen
Jahn Regensburg	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Ingolstadt	0-1 L	3-0 W
SC Fortuna Köln	2-0 W	1-1 D
Hansa Rostock	1-1 D	2-0 W
Wurzburger Kickers	6-2 W	0-1 L
FC Viktoria Köln	1-0 W	2-5 L
Wehen SV	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rot-Weiss Essen (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rot-Weiss Essen

DWWWDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
23/10	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
13/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
09/10	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	0-2	3-3	4	5	D
20/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
16/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
12/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	3-0	6-2	6	6	W
05/09	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Alemannia Aachen

DLWDLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
17/10	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
14/10	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
11/10	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-4	2-5	8	3	L
19/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
12/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	8	D
04/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
29/08	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	6	L
15/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rot-Weiss Essen win (51%). Probabilities: Rot-Weiss Essen 51%, draw 24%, Alemannia Aachen 24%.

How many goals are expected in Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Rot-Weiss Essen 1.92 · Alemannia Aachen 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.