Football · Germany 3. Liga · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrucken

Team pages: FC Viktoria Köln · Saarbrucken

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

FC Viktoria Köln2.18

Saarbrucken1.34

1X2

56% 22% 22%

FC Viktoria Köln Draw Saarbrucken

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Viktoria Köln 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Saarbrucken 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Viktoria Köln 2–4 Saarbrucken (6 last)

FC Viktoria Köln2-0Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken2-1FC Viktoria Köln
FC Viktoria Köln1-2Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken1-0FC Viktoria Köln
FC Viktoria Köln2-5Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken1-2FC Viktoria Köln

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Viktoria Köln (rating 1587 vs 1516).
H2H favours Saarbrucken: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Viktoria Köln	Saarbrucken
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.9	3.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Pinn 1.77
X	4.18 → 4.18	Pinn 4.18
2	3.85 → 3.85	Pinn 3.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +42’	1.77	4.18	3.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Viktoria Köln 2–0–4 Saarbrucken

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	2-0 HT 2-0	Saarbrucken
09/08/25 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Viktoria Köln
28/02/25 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	1-2 HT 0-1	Saarbrucken
25/09/24 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Viktoria Köln
21/02/24 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	2-5 HT 0-1	Saarbrucken
19/08/23 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Viktoria Köln

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	12	8	2	2	31	15	26
2	MSV Duisburg	12	8	2	2	31	17	26
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
4	Wehen SV	12	5	3	4	23	17	18
5	FC Ingolstadt	12	5	3	4	16	17	18
6	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26	20	17
7	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
8	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20	17	16
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	12	5	1	6	21	20	16
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	4	4	12	14	16
11	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	19	22	16
12	SV Meppen	12	4	3	5	16	17	15
13	VfB Stuttgart II	12	4	3	5	21	23	15
14	SC Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19	21	15
15	Wurzburger Kickers	12	4	2	6	17	24	14
16	Jahn Regensburg	12	3	4	5	22	21	13
17	Verl	12	3	3	6	17	26	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13	25	12
19	SC Fortuna Köln	12	2	4	6	9	14	10
20	TSV Havelse	12	2	4	6	17	26	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Viktoria Köln	Saarbrucken
MSV Duisburg	1-1 D	2-4 L
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Ingolstadt	3-0 W	0-1 L
SV Meppen	3-1 W	6-1 W
Hansa Rostock	4-0 W	2-4 L
SC Preussen Munster	4-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Viktoria Köln (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Viktoria Köln

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/10	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	6	4	W
18/10	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
14/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	7	5	D
11/10	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	4-1	5-2	4	3	W
19/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
15/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	2	8	W
11/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	7	6	W
05/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
30/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	3-1	4-1	4	7	W

Saarbrucken

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	2	6	L
17/10	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
13/10	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-3	2-4	4	2	L
10/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
19/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
16/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	3-1	3-3	11	1	D
12/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
05/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	3-1	6-1	6	2	W
30/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-4	5	7	L
16/08	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrucken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Viktoria Köln win (56%). Probabilities: FC Viktoria Köln 56%, draw 22%, Saarbrucken 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrucken?

The model expects 3.52 goals (FC Viktoria Köln 2.18 · Saarbrucken 1.34), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrucken?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.