Football · Germany 3. Liga · 25/10, 19:30

Prediction: Waldhof Mannheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Team pages: Waldhof Mannheim · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Waldhof Mannheim1.68

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1.49

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Waldhof Mannheim Draw TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Waldhof Mannheim 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLWWLL

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Waldhof Mannheim 1–3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (6 last)

Waldhof Mannheim1-1TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II2-0Waldhof Mannheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II4-1Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim3-3TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1-2Waldhof Mannheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II2-2Waldhof Mannheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Waldhof Mannheim 1469 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1523

	Waldhof Mannheim	Draw	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (rating 1469 vs 1523).
H2H favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Waldhof Mannheim	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.92 ★
2	2.75 → 2.70▼	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +13’	2.10	3.50	2.75
12:24 +4’	2.15▲	3.50	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +129’	2.16	3.99	2.83
12:50 +33’	2.13▼	3.95▼	2.90▲
06:10 +6’	2.25▲	3.92▼	2.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Waldhof Mannheim 1–3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	1-1 HT 0-1	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
02/11/25 Germany 3. Liga	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	2-0 HT 0-0	Waldhof Mannheim
20/07/24 Club Friendly List	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	4-1 HT 3-0	Waldhof Mannheim
30/11/18 Germany Regionalliga South West	Waldhof Mannheim	3-3 HT 2-1	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
04/08/18 Germany Regionalliga South West	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	1-2 HT 0-0	Waldhof Mannheim
28/04/18 Germany Regionalliga South West	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	2-2 HT 2-1	Waldhof Mannheim

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	10	6	2	2	27	14	20
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
4	Saarbrucken	10	5	2	3	24	17	17
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	10	5	1	4	20	15	16
6	Hansa Rostock	10	4	3	3	17	19	15
7	VfB Stuttgart II	10	4	2	4	17	18	14
8	Alemannia Aachen	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
9	FC Ingolstadt	10	4	2	4	13	15	14
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	11	13	14
11	Waldhof Mannheim	10	4	1	5	16	16	13
12	SC Preussen Munster	10	3	3	4	18	21	12
13	Wehen SV	10	3	3	4	12	15	12
14	Verl	10	3	3	4	15	19	12
15	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	10	3	3	4	12	18	12
16	Wurzburger Kickers	10	3	2	5	15	19	11
17	SV Meppen	10	3	2	5	12	17	11
18	Jahn Regensburg	10	2	4	4	20	19	10
19	SC Fortuna Köln	10	2	4	4	8	11	10
20	TSV Havelse	10	1	3	6	13	23	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Waldhof Mannheim	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt	0-3 L	2-1 W
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	5-1 W	0-1 L
Verl	0-1 L	2-1 W
Hansa Rostock	3-3 D	2-3 L
Fortuna Dusseldorf	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Waldhof Mannheim

WDLLWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
14/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
10/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
20/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
13/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
05/09	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	5	7	L
16/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	2	8	D
07/08	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	8	W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

LWWLDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Verl Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
13/10	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	5	7	L
10/10	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	9	L
19/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
13/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	9	8	L
29/08	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
15/08	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
09/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-2	2-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waldhof Mannheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Waldhof Mannheim win (41%). Probabilities: Waldhof Mannheim 41%, draw 26%, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 33%.

How many goals are expected in Waldhof Mannheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Waldhof Mannheim 1.68 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Waldhof Mannheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.