Football · Germany 3. Liga · 01/11, 13:30

Prediction: Saarbrucken vs Waldhof Mannheim

Team pages: Saarbrucken · Waldhof Mannheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Saarbrucken1.75

Waldhof Mannheim1.47

1X2

44% 25% 32%

Saarbrucken Draw Waldhof Mannheim

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Saarbrucken 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWDLWL

Waldhof Mannheim 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Saarbrucken 4–1–1 Waldhof Mannheim (6 last)

Saarbrucken2-0Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim2-1Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken2-1Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim0-1Saarbrucken
Waldhof Mannheim0-2Saarbrucken
Saarbrucken1-1Waldhof Mannheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saarbrucken 1513 · Waldhof Mannheim 1485

	Saarbrucken	Draw	Waldhof Mannheim
Our model	43%	25%	31%
Market	44%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Saarbrucken: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Saarbrucken	Waldhof Mannheim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.15
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.00 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:22 +4’	2.10	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +213’	2.11	3.72	3.08
22:20 +2’	2.15▲	3.72	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saarbrucken 4–1–1 Waldhof Mannheim

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	2-0 HT 1-0	Waldhof Mannheim
07/12/25 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	2-1 HT 2-1	Saarbrucken
08/02/25 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	2-1 HT 2-1	Waldhof Mannheim
31/08/24 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	0-1 HT 0-1	Saarbrucken
18/02/24 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	0-2 HT 0-2	Saarbrucken
23/09/23 Germany 3. Liga	Saarbrucken	1-1 HT 0-0	Waldhof Mannheim

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	11	8	1	2	28	14	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	11	7	2	2	30	15	23
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
4	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26	20	17
5	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
6	FC Ingolstadt	11	5	2	4	15	16	17
7	Waldhof Mannheim	11	5	1	5	20	17	16
8	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	11	5	1	5	21	19	16
9	Hansa Rostock	11	4	4	3	18	20	16
10	Wehen SV	11	4	3	4	19	16	15
11	SC Preussen Munster	11	4	3	4	19	21	15
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	12	14	15
13	SV Meppen	11	4	2	5	16	17	14
14	VfB Stuttgart II	11	4	2	5	18	20	14
15	Verl	11	3	3	5	16	22	12
16	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	3	3	5	13	25	12
17	Wurzburger Kickers	11	3	2	6	15	23	11
18	Jahn Regensburg	11	2	4	5	20	20	10
19	SC Fortuna Köln	11	2	4	5	8	12	10
20	TSV Havelse	11	2	3	6	16	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saarbrucken	Waldhof Mannheim
TSV Havelse	2-3 L	2-3 L
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2-1 W	5-1 W
SC Preussen Munster	3-3 D	2-0 W
FC Ingolstadt	0-1 L	0-3 L
Hansa Rostock	2-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Waldhof Mannheim (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saarbrucken

WLWLDWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	2	6	L
17/10	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
13/10	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-3	2-4	4	2	L
10/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
19/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
16/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	3-1	3-3	11	1	D
12/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
05/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	3-1	6-1	6	2	W
30/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-4	5	7	L
16/08	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	5	W

Waldhof Mannheim

DLLWLWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-1	4-1	5	7	W
17/10	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
14/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
10/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
20/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
13/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
05/09	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	5	7	L
16/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saarbrucken vs Waldhof Mannheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Saarbrucken win (44%). Probabilities: Saarbrucken 44%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 32%.

How many goals are expected in Saarbrucken vs Waldhof Mannheim?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Saarbrucken 1.75 · Waldhof Mannheim 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Saarbrucken vs Waldhof Mannheim?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.