Football · Germany 3. Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl

Team pages: FC Viktoria Köln · Verl

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

FC Viktoria Köln2.25

Verl1.49

1X2

54% 22% 24%

FC Viktoria Köln Draw Verl

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Viktoria Köln 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Verl 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Viktoria Köln 2–2–2 Verl (6 last)

Verl2-0FC Viktoria Köln
FC Viktoria Köln1-5Verl
Verl1-1FC Viktoria Köln
FC Viktoria Köln2-1Verl
Verl1-1FC Viktoria Köln
FC Viktoria Köln3-1Verl

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Viktoria Köln (rating 1540 vs 1481).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Viktoria Köln	Verl
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	1.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.94

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.68 → 1.57▼	Pinn 1.57
X	4.36 → 4.63▲	Pinn 4.63
2	3.85 → 4.51▲	Pinn 4.51

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +13’	1.68	4.36	3.85
17:50 +28’	1.61▼	4.55▲	4.32▲
19:18 +7’	1.57▼	4.63▲	4.51▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Viktoria Köln 2–2–2 Verl

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany 3. Liga	Verl	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Viktoria Köln
22/11/25 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	1-5 HT 0-2	Verl
22/02/25 Germany 3. Liga	Verl	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Viktoria Köln
22/09/24 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	2-1 HT 0-1	Verl
20/12/23 Germany 3. Liga	Verl	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Viktoria Köln
05/08/23 Germany 3. Liga	FC Viktoria Köln	3-1 HT 1-1	Verl

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	10	6	2	2	27	14	20
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
4	Saarbrucken	10	5	2	3	24	17	17
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	10	5	1	4	20	15	16
6	Hansa Rostock	10	4	3	3	17	19	15
7	VfB Stuttgart II	10	4	2	4	17	18	14
8	Alemannia Aachen	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
9	FC Ingolstadt	10	4	2	4	13	15	14
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	11	13	14
11	Waldhof Mannheim	10	4	1	5	16	16	13
12	SC Preussen Munster	10	3	3	4	18	21	12
13	Wehen SV	10	3	3	4	12	15	12
14	Verl	10	3	3	4	15	19	12
15	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	10	3	3	4	12	18	12
16	Wurzburger Kickers	10	3	2	5	15	19	11
17	Jahn Regensburg	10	2	4	4	20	19	10
18	SC Fortuna Köln	10	2	4	4	8	11	10
19	SV Meppen	9	3	1	5	11	16	10
20	TSV Havelse	9	1	2	6	12	22	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Viktoria Köln	Verl
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2-2 D	1-1 D
Alemannia Aachen	5-2 W	1-4 L
SV Meppen	3-1 W	2-1 W
Jahn Regensburg	2-5 L	2-2 D
MSV Duisburg	1-1 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Viktoria Köln (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Viktoria Köln

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	7	5	D
11/10	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	4-1	5-2	4	3	W
19/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
15/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	2	8	W
11/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	7	6	W
05/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
30/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	3-1	4-1	4	7	W
16/08	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
08/08	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	5	6	L
16/05	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Verl

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
14/10	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	8	2	D
11/10	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
18/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
15/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
12/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
05/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
15/08	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-4	4	5	L
09/08	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-4	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Viktoria Köln win (54%). Probabilities: FC Viktoria Köln 54%, draw 22%, Verl 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

The model expects 3.73 goals (FC Viktoria Köln 2.25 · Verl 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.