Football · Germany 3. Liga · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg

Team pages: Rot-Weiss Essen · Jahn Regensburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Rot-Weiss Essen2.32

Jahn Regensburg1.32

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Rot-Weiss Essen Draw Jahn Regensburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Rot-Weiss Essen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Jahn Regensburg 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rot-Weiss Essen 3–1–0 Jahn Regensburg (4 last)

Rot-Weiss Essen3-2Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg1-3Rot-Weiss Essen
Jahn Regensburg1-3Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen0-0Jahn Regensburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rot-Weiss Essen (rating 1546 vs 1451).
H2H favours Rot-Weiss Essen: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rot-Weiss Essen	Jahn Regensburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.3	2.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.91

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63
X	4.36 → 4.36	Pinn 4.36
2	4.32 → 4.32	Pinn 4.32

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +201’	1.63	4.36	4.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rot-Weiss Essen 3–1–0 Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	3-2 HT 1-1	Jahn Regensburg
12/09/25 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	1-3 HT 0-1	Rot-Weiss Essen
10/02/24 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	1-3 HT 0-1	Rot-Weiss Essen
16/09/23 Germany 3. Liga	Rot-Weiss Essen	0-0 HT 0-0	Jahn Regensburg

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	10	6	2	2	27	14	20
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
4	Saarbrucken	10	5	2	3	24	17	17
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	10	5	1	4	20	15	16
6	Hansa Rostock	10	4	3	3	17	19	15
7	VfB Stuttgart II	10	4	2	4	17	18	14
8	Alemannia Aachen	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
9	FC Ingolstadt	10	4	2	4	13	15	14
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	11	13	14
11	Waldhof Mannheim	10	4	1	5	16	16	13
12	SC Preussen Munster	10	3	3	4	18	21	12
13	Wehen SV	10	3	3	4	12	15	12
14	Verl	10	3	3	4	15	19	12
15	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	10	3	3	4	12	18	12
16	Wurzburger Kickers	10	3	2	5	15	19	11
17	Jahn Regensburg	10	2	4	4	20	19	10
18	SC Fortuna Köln	10	2	4	4	8	11	10
19	SV Meppen	9	3	1	5	11	16	10
20	TSV Havelse	9	1	2	6	12	22	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rot-Weiss Essen	Jahn Regensburg
FC Viktoria Köln	1-0 W	5-2 W
Wehen SV	0-0 D	0-0 D
TSV Havelse	1-0 W	5-0 W
Saarbrucken	2-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jahn Regensburg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rot-Weiss Essen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
13/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
09/10	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	0-2	3-3	4	5	D
20/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
16/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
12/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	3-0	6-2	6	6	W
05/09	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
29/08	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
15/08	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
09/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	2-2	2-5	3	7	L

Jahn Regensburg

WLLLDLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
14/10	Verl Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
10/10	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	3	3	W
19/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	3-2	3-3	4	5	D
15/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
05/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
29/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
16/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rot-Weiss Essen win (59%). Probabilities: Rot-Weiss Essen 59%, draw 21%, Jahn Regensburg 20%.

How many goals are expected in Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Rot-Weiss Essen 2.32 · Jahn Regensburg 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.