Football · Austria Landesliga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Helfort 15 vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Team pages: Helfort 15 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Helfort 152.17

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf0.76

1X2

69% 19% 11%

Helfort 15 Draw SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Helfort 15 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Helfort 15 3–2–1 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf (6 last)

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-2Helfort 15
Helfort 153-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Helfort 150-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-0Helfort 15
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-1Helfort 15
Helfort 152-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Helfort 15 1542 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1416

	Helfort 15	Draw	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Our model	69%	20%	11%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Helfort 15 (rating 1542 vs 1416).
H2H favours Helfort 15: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helfort 15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +7’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Helfort 15 3–2–1 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-2 HT 1-2	Helfort 15
01/11/25 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	3-1 HT 1-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
12/04/25 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
27/09/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-0 HT 0-0	Helfort 15
03/03/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-1 HT 1-1	Helfort 15
11/03/23 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	2-1 HT 1-1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	11	8	1	2	24	15	25
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
5	TWL Elektra	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
8	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
9	First Vienna II	11	4	1	6	21	22	13
10	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
11	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
14	Simmeringer SC	11	3	0	8	9	29	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helfort 15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Hellas Kagran	1-1 D	2-4 L
Sportunion Mauer	0-0 D	0-2 L
SV Schwechat	2-0 W	1-5 L
Post SV	1-0 W	2-1 W
FV Austria XIII	2-2 D	1-1 D
LAC Inter	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Helfort 15 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helfort 15

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	10	3	D
24/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
16/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
10/10	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	11	4	W
04/10	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
12/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
05/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-2	2	6	L

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/10	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
18/10	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
02/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
26/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	1	L
28/08	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helfort 15 vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Helfort 15 win (69%). Probabilities: Helfort 15 69%, draw 19%, SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 11%.

How many goals are expected in Helfort 15 vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Helfort 15 2.17 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Helfort 15 vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.