Football · Austria Landesliga · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Oberpullendorf vs SC Rust

Team pages: Oberpullendorf · SC Rust

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Oberpullendorf1.7

SC Rust1.51

1X2

42% 24% 34%

Oberpullendorf Draw SC Rust

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Oberpullendorf 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWDDD

SC Rust 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLDDLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oberpullendorf 1499 · SC Rust 1484

	Oberpullendorf	Draw	SC Rust
Our model	41%	25%	33%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oberpullendorf	SC Rust
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +7’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
9	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
10	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
11	WAF Brigittenau	12	4	2	6	17	22	14
12	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	Post SV	12	2	2	8	23	25	8
16	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oberpullendorf	SC Rust
SV Eberau	1-1 D	2-2 D
SV Leithaprodersdorf	0-0 D	1-3 L
USV Halbturn	4-0 W	4-1 W
Neusiedl	1-2 L	3-0 W
ASK Kohfidisch	2-1 W	1-2 L
ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oberpullendorf (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oberpullendorf

LWLWLLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/10	SV Leithaprodersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
23/10	SC Bad Sauerbrunn Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/10	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
02/10	St Margarethen/Bur Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
25/09	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
18/09	Neusiedl Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
11/09	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
05/09	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L

SC Rust

LDWWLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Neusiedl Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
31/10	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/10	Deutschkreutz Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	SC Pinkafeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
04/10	SK Pama Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
27/09	SV Lackenbach Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
19/09	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
13/09	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
08/09	SV Leithaprodersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oberpullendorf vs SC Rust?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oberpullendorf win (42%). Probabilities: Oberpullendorf 42%, draw 24%, SC Rust 34%.

How many goals are expected in Oberpullendorf vs SC Rust?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Oberpullendorf 1.7 · SC Rust 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oberpullendorf vs SC Rust?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.