Football · Austria Landesliga · 15/11, 10:30

Prediction: Slovan HAC vs Simmeringer SC

Team pages: Slovan HAC · Simmeringer SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Slovan HAC1.84

Simmeringer SC1.22

1X2

51% 24% 25%

Slovan HAC Draw Simmeringer SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan HAC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLDDWD

Simmeringer SC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Slovan HAC 3–2–1 Simmeringer SC (6 last)

Slovan HAC4-0Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC2-4Slovan HAC
Slovan HAC1-1Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC1-1Slovan HAC
Slovan HAC5-1Simmeringer SC
Slovan HAC0-3Simmeringer SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan HAC 1511 · Simmeringer SC 1437

	Slovan HAC	Draw	Simmeringer SC
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slovan HAC (rating 1511 vs 1437).
H2H favours Slovan HAC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan HAC	Simmeringer SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	0.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	2.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +1’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan HAC 3–2–1 Simmeringer SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Austria Landesliga	Slovan HAC	4-0 HT 3-0	Simmeringer SC
04/10/25 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	2-4 HT 1-3	Slovan HAC
27/04/25 Austria Landesliga	Slovan HAC	1-1 HT 1-1	Simmeringer SC
06/04/24 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	1-1 HT 0-0	Slovan HAC
17/09/23 Austria Landesliga	Slovan HAC	5-1 HT 2-0	Simmeringer SC
26/03/23 Austria Landesliga	Slovan HAC	0-3 HT 0-1	Simmeringer SC

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	SV Schwechat	13	5	1	7	22	19	16
8	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
9	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
10	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
11	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
12	WAF Brigittenau	13	4	2	7	17	27	14
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	Post SV	12	2	2	8	23	25	8
16	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan HAC	Simmeringer SC
First Vienna II	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC 1980 Wien	2-2 D	2-3 L
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0-0 D	2-1 W
Hellas Kagran	1-4 L	2-1 W
Sportunion Mauer	1-5 L	0-4 L
SV Schwechat	2-1 W	0-2 L
Post SV	1-1 D	1-0 W
WAF Brigittenau	5-1 W	0-2 L
Red Star Penzing	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan HAC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan HAC

LWDWLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
23/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
11/10	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-4	4	7	L
03/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	0	L
27/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
19/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
13/09	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-1	5	5	W
04/09	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Simmeringer SC

LLLWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
31/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-3	7	5	L
23/10	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
17/10	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
02/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
20/09	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
11/09	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan HAC vs Simmeringer SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovan HAC win (51%). Probabilities: Slovan HAC 51%, draw 24%, Simmeringer SC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan HAC vs Simmeringer SC?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Slovan HAC 1.84 · Simmeringer SC 1.22), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan HAC vs Simmeringer SC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.