Football · Austria Landesliga · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: St Margarethen/Bur vs SV Eberau

Team pages: St Margarethen/Bur · SV Eberau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

St Margarethen/Bur1.82

SV Eberau1.47

1X2

46% 23% 31%

St Margarethen/Bur Draw SV Eberau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

St Margarethen/Bur 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDWLLWDL

SV Eberau 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLWDWD

Head-to-head

St Margarethen/Bur 0–1–1 SV Eberau (2 last)

SV Eberau2-0St Margarethen/Bur
St Margarethen/Bur1-1SV Eberau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Margarethen/Bur 1508 · SV Eberau 1511

	St Margarethen/Bur	Draw	SV Eberau
Our model	45%	25%	30%
Market	46%	23%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Margarethen/Bur	SV Eberau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	5.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.00

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +4’	1.95	4.00	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Margarethen/Bur 0–1–1 SV Eberau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Eberau	2-0 HT 2-0	St Margarethen/Bur
31/08/25 Austria Landesliga	St Margarethen/Bur	1-1 HT 0-1	SV Eberau

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
9	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
10	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
11	WAF Brigittenau	12	4	2	6	17	22	14
12	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	Post SV	12	2	2	8	23	25	8
16	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Margarethen/Bur	SV Eberau
USV Halbturn	0-1 L	1-2 L
Oberpullendorf	2-1 W	1-1 D
Neusiedl	1-1 D	4-1 W
ASK Kohfidisch	2-2 D	1-1 D
ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II	2-0 W	2-1 W
Deutschkreutz	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: St Margarethen/Bur (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Margarethen/Bur

WWDDWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SV Leithaprodersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
30/10	SC Bad Sauerbrunn Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
17/10	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/10	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Neusiedl Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/09	Deutschkreutz Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

SV Eberau

LDDWLLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/10	Neusiedl Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
23/10	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
11/10	Deutschkreutz Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	SC Pinkafeld Austria Landesliga	0-3	1-5	2	2	L
27/09	SK Pama Austria Landesliga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	SV Lackenbach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	SC Rust Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
06/09	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Margarethen/Bur vs SV Eberau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Margarethen/Bur win (46%). Probabilities: St Margarethen/Bur 46%, draw 23%, SV Eberau 31%.

How many goals are expected in St Margarethen/Bur vs SV Eberau?

The model expects 3.3 goals (St Margarethen/Bur 1.82 · SV Eberau 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in St Margarethen/Bur vs SV Eberau?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.