Football · Austria Landesliga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Floridsdorfer AC II vs Sportunion Mauer

Team pages: Floridsdorfer AC II · Sportunion Mauer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Floridsdorfer AC II1.56

Sportunion Mauer1.76

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Floridsdorfer AC II Draw Sportunion Mauer

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Floridsdorfer AC II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Sportunion Mauer 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Floridsdorfer AC II 1542 · Sportunion Mauer 1593

	Floridsdorfer AC II	Draw	Sportunion Mauer
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportunion Mauer (rating 1542 vs 1593).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Floridsdorfer AC II	Sportunion Mauer
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	2.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +10’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	11	8	1	2	24	15	25
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
5	TWL Elektra	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
8	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
9	First Vienna II	11	4	1	6	21	22	13
10	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
11	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
14	Simmeringer SC	11	3	0	8	9	29	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Floridsdorfer AC II	Sportunion Mauer
FV Austria XIII	2-1 W	0-0 D
TWL Elektra	2-1 W	3-2 W
Helfort 15	0-1 L	0-0 D
LAC Inter	2-3 L	3-3 D
Simmeringer SC	3-0 W	4-0 W
Slovan HAC	1-1 D	5-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sportunion Mauer (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Floridsdorfer AC II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
24/10	Post SV Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	11	5	W
18/10	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-4	6	4	L
11/10	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
03/10	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
25/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	1	4	W
20/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
12/09	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
29/08	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D

Sportunion Mauer

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
24/10	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
17/10	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-3	6	3	D
09/10	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-1	6	0	W
26/09	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-0	1	1	W
23/09	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	8	2	W
05/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
29/08	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Floridsdorfer AC II vs Sportunion Mauer?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportunion Mauer win (42%). Probabilities: Floridsdorfer AC II 34%, draw 24%, Sportunion Mauer 42%.

How many goals are expected in Floridsdorfer AC II vs Sportunion Mauer?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Floridsdorfer AC II 1.56 · Sportunion Mauer 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Floridsdorfer AC II vs Sportunion Mauer?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.