Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 08/11, 11:30

Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)

Team pages: FC Nordsjaelland (W) · ASA Aarhus (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

FC Nordsjaelland (W)2.78

ASA Aarhus (W)0.78

1X2

79% 14% 7%

FC Nordsjaelland (W) Draw ASA Aarhus (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Nordsjaelland (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDDDWL

ASA Aarhus (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1–0 ASA Aarhus (W) (1 last)

ASA Aarhus (W)1-3FC Nordsjaelland (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1562 · ASA Aarhus (W) 1525

	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	Draw	ASA Aarhus (W)
Our model	78%	15%	7%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	ASA Aarhus (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.9	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +7’	1.14	7.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1–0–0 ASA Aarhus (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	ASA Aarhus (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Nordsjaelland (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	13	10	2	1	36	15	32
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	13	7	4	2	38	14	25
3	Brondby (W)	13	7	3	3	29	11	24
4	Midtjylland (W)	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
5	ASA Aarhus (W)	13	7	1	5	17	20	22
6	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	13	6	3	4	27	15	21
7	Kolding IF (W)	13	4	1	8	22	33	13
8	Odense BK (W)	13	4	1	8	8	25	13
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	13	3	0	10	16	39	9
10	AGF (W)	13	1	0	12	8	34	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	ASA Aarhus (W)
FC Copenhagen (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
AGF (W)	5-0 W	3-1 W
Midtjylland (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
Kolding IF (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nordsjaelland (W)

WWWWWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
27/10	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	4-0	5-0	3	2	W
18/10	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/10	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
26/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
22/09	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
15/09	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-1	4-1	9	0	W
05/09	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-2	6-4	7	7	W
01/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	4-0	8	4	W
23/08	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	6-0	9-1	8	2	W

ASA Aarhus (W)

LWLWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
25/10	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
17/10	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-1	3-1	8	1	W
03/10	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
26/09	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-3	0-3	1	0	L
19/09	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	2-1	3	3	W
22/08	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-4	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nordsjaelland (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nordsjaelland (W) win (79%). Probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland (W) 79%, draw 14%, ASA Aarhus (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nordsjaelland (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?

The model expects 3.57 goals (FC Nordsjaelland (W) 2.78 · ASA Aarhus (W) 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.