Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 14/11, 13:00
Prediction: AGF (W) vs Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Team pages: AGF (W) · Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
AGF (W)0.8
Fortuna Hjørring (W)2.42
1X2
AGF (W)
Draw
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AGF (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AGF (W)
1–5
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
(6 last)
- AGF (W)0-9Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)3-0AGF (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)2-1AGF (W)
- AGF (W)1-2Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- AGF (W)2-1Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)4-0AGF (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AGF (W) 1389 · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1526
| AGF (W) | Draw | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Market | 11% | 16% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Hjørring (W) (rating 1389 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Fortuna Hjørring (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AGF (W) | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.7 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AGF (W) 1–0–5 Fortuna Hjørring (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Denmark Cup Women | AGF (W) | 0-9 HT 0-5 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 19/08/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | AGF (W) |
| 09/05/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AGF (W) |
| 24/03/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | AGF (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 08/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | AGF (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 23/08/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | AGF (W) |
Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HB Koge (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Brondby (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Midtjylland (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | ASA Aarhus (W) | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 22 |
| 6 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | Kolding IF (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 14 |
| 8 | Odense BK (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen (W) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 10 |
| 10 | AGF (W) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 40 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AGF (W) | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HB Koge (W) | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| ASA Aarhus (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Kolding IF (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Odense BK (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Copenhagen (W) | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortuna Hjørring (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AGF (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 03/11 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/10 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/09 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 22/09 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AGF (W) vs Fortuna Hjørring (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fortuna Hjørring (W) win (73%). Probabilities: AGF (W) 10%, draw 17%, Fortuna Hjørring (W) 73%.
How many goals are expected in AGF (W) vs Fortuna Hjørring (W)?
The model expects 3.22 goals (AGF (W) 0.8 · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 2.42), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AGF (W) vs Fortuna Hjørring (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.