Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 15/11, 11:30

Prediction: ASA Aarhus (W) vs Brondby (W)

Team pages: ASA Aarhus (W) · Brondby (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

ASA Aarhus (W)0.72

Brondby (W)2.27

1X2

10% 18% 72%

ASA Aarhus (W) Draw Brondby (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ASA Aarhus (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWWWL

Brondby (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDLWW

Head-to-head

ASA Aarhus (W) 0–2 Brondby (W) (2 last)

Brondby (W)3-0ASA Aarhus (W)
ASA Aarhus (W)0-3Brondby (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASA Aarhus (W) 1525 · Brondby (W) 1607

	ASA Aarhus (W)	Draw	Brondby (W)
Our model	9%	19%	72%
Market	10%	17%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brondby (W) (rating 1525 vs 1607).
H2H favours Brondby (W): 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASA Aarhus (W)	Brondby (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3.2 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.2	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

18.50

X5.25

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.80

2 (-2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 21:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 8.50▲	Pinn 8.75
X	5.00 → 5.25▲	Pinn 6.28 ★
2	1.28 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +23’	7.50	5.00	1.28
18:07 +20’	9.00▲	5.00	1.25▼
06:10 +6’	7.00▼	4.50▼	1.33▲
14:03 +4’	8.00▲	5.25▲	1.25▼
21:15 +3’	8.50▲	5.25	1.22▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +11’	8.81	6.36	1.20
13:56 +11’	8.77▼	6.31▼	1.21▲
21:10 +8’	8.75▼	6.28▼	1.21▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASA Aarhus (W) 0–0–2 Brondby (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Brondby (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	ASA Aarhus (W)
07/12/25 Denmark Cup Women	ASA Aarhus (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	Brondby (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	15	12	2	1	46	16	38
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	15	9	4	2	43	15	31
3	Brondby (W)	14	8	3	3	31	12	27
4	Midtjylland (W)	14	8	3	3	21	14	27
5	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	15	7	3	5	32	18	24
6	ASA Aarhus (W)	14	7	1	6	17	23	22
7	Kolding IF (W)	15	4	2	9	25	37	14
8	Odense BK (W)	15	4	1	10	9	31	13
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	14	3	1	10	18	41	10
10	AGF (W)	15	1	0	14	9	44	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASA Aarhus (W)	Brondby (W)
Kolding IF (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Odense BK (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Midtjylland (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Copenhagen (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brondby (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASA Aarhus (W)

WLWDLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
31/10	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
25/10	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
17/10	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-1	3-1	8	1	W
03/10	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
26/09	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-3	0-3	1	0	L
19/09	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	2-1	3	3	W

Brondby (W)

LWWWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	2-1	3	3	W
01/11	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
24/10	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-2	6	0	L
20/10	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
03/10	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
26/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	3-0	3-0	10	0	W
19/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	3-0	4-0	7	2	W
12/09	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
08/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	4-0	5-0	6	2	W
29/08	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	1-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASA Aarhus (W) vs Brondby (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brondby (W) win (72%). Probabilities: ASA Aarhus (W) 10%, draw 18%, Brondby (W) 72%.

How many goals are expected in ASA Aarhus (W) vs Brondby (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (ASA Aarhus (W) 0.72 · Brondby (W) 2.27), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASA Aarhus (W) vs Brondby (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.