Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Kolding IF (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)

Team pages: Kolding IF (W) · FC Nordsjaelland (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Kolding IF (W)1.08

FC Nordsjaelland (W)2.88

1X2

11% 16% 74%

Kolding IF (W) Draw FC Nordsjaelland (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kolding IF (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLLD

FC Nordsjaelland (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDDWLW

Head-to-head

Kolding IF (W) 0–6 FC Nordsjaelland (W) (6 last)

FC Nordsjaelland (W)4-0Kolding IF (W)
Kolding IF (W)1-5FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Kolding IF (W)2-3FC Nordsjaelland (W)
FC Nordsjaelland (W)6-0Kolding IF (W)
FC Nordsjaelland (W)4-1Kolding IF (W)
FC Nordsjaelland (W)3-1Kolding IF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolding IF (W) 1413 · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1592

	Kolding IF (W)	Draw	FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Our model	11%	16%	74%
Market	11%	16%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nordsjaelland (W) (rating 1413 vs 1592).
H2H favours FC Nordsjaelland (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kolding IF (W)	FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	2.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	3.7 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

18.50

X5.75

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.98

2 (-2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 8.50▼	Bet365 8.50
X	6.50 → 5.75▼	Pinn 7.43 ★
2	1.17 → 1.22▲	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +24’	10.00	6.50	1.17
17:05 +2’	8.50▼	5.75▼	1.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +6’	7.13	7.31	1.21
18:06 +1’	7.51▲	7.43▲	1.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolding IF (W) 0–0–6 FC Nordsjaelland (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Kolding IF (W)
10/05/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Kolding IF (W)	1-5 HT 1-2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)
02/04/26 Denmark Cup Women	Kolding IF (W)	2-3 HT 2-2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)
25/03/26 Denmark Cup Women	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	6-0 HT 3-0	Kolding IF (W)
21/03/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	4-1 HT 4-0	Kolding IF (W)
22/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	3-1 HT 3-1	Kolding IF (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	14	11	2	1	42	15	35
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	14	8	4	2	41	14	28
3	Brondby (W)	14	8	3	3	31	12	27
4	Midtjylland (W)	14	8	3	3	21	14	27
5	ASA Aarhus (W)	14	7	1	6	17	23	22
6	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	14	6	3	5	28	17	21
7	Kolding IF (W)	14	4	2	8	24	35	14
8	Odense BK (W)	14	4	1	9	8	27	13
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	14	3	1	10	18	41	10
10	AGF (W)	14	1	0	13	8	40	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kolding IF (W)	FC Nordsjaelland (W)
FC Copenhagen (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
ASA Aarhus (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
HB Koge (W)	2-3 L	2-2 D
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
AGF (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nordsjaelland (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kolding IF (W)

LLLWLWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
31/10	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
24/10	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-2	2-3	8	1	L
17/10	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
03/10	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	2-1	9	1	W
26/09	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-4	1	2	L
20/09	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	5-1	6-2	6	0	W
13/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
08/09	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-4	0-5	6	2	L
01/09	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-4	1	4	L

FC Nordsjaelland (W)

WWWWDDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
31/10	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
27/10	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	4-0	5-0	3	2	W
18/10	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/10	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
26/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
22/09	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
15/09	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-1	4-1	9	0	W
05/09	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-2	6-4	7	7	W
01/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	4-0	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolding IF (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nordsjaelland (W) win (74%). Probabilities: Kolding IF (W) 11%, draw 16%, FC Nordsjaelland (W) 74%.

How many goals are expected in Kolding IF (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Kolding IF (W) 1.08 · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 2.88), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kolding IF (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.