Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Odense BK (W) vs HB Koge (W)

Team pages: Odense BK (W) · HB Koge (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Odense BK (W)0.8

HB Koge (W)2.8

1X2

5% 11% 84%

Odense BK (W) Draw HB Koge (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Odense BK (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLWLLL

HB Koge (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Odense BK (W) 0–3–3 HB Koge (W) (6 last)

HB Koge (W)3-0Odense BK (W)
Odense BK (W)0-4HB Koge (W)
HB Koge (W)3-1Odense BK (W)
Odense BK (W)1-1HB Koge (W)
Odense BK (W)1-1HB Koge (W)
HB Koge (W)0-0Odense BK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odense BK (W) 1445 · HB Koge (W) 1584

	Odense BK (W)	Draw	HB Koge (W)
Our model	7%	15%	78%
Market	4%	8%	89%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Koge (W) (rating 1445 vs 1584).
H2H favours HB Koge (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odense BK (W)	HB Koge (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 2	3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.9	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

126.00

X12.00

21.06

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.95

2 (-3)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	26.00 → 26.00	Bet365 26.00
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +8’	26.00	12.00	1.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odense BK (W) 0–3–3 HB Koge (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	HB Koge (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Odense BK (W)
11/10/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Odense BK (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	HB Koge (W)
12/08/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	HB Koge (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Odense BK (W)
05/08/25 Women’s Friendly	Odense BK (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	HB Koge (W)
10/05/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Odense BK (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	HB Koge (W)
21/03/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	HB Koge (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Odense BK (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	14	11	2	1	42	15	35
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	14	8	4	2	41	14	28
3	Brondby (W)	14	8	3	3	31	12	27
4	Midtjylland (W)	14	8	3	3	21	14	27
5	ASA Aarhus (W)	14	7	1	6	17	23	22
6	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	14	6	3	5	28	17	21
7	Kolding IF (W)	14	4	2	8	24	35	14
8	Odense BK (W)	14	4	1	9	8	27	13
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	14	3	1	10	18	41	10
10	AGF (W)	14	1	0	13	8	40	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odense BK (W)	HB Koge (W)
Midtjylland (W)	0-2 L	4-0 W
Brondby (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
AGF (W)	1-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HB Koge (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odense BK (W)

LLLDWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
01/11	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
25/10	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
17/10	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
04/10	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
29/09	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
19/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
12/09	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
06/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-3	0-4	4	1	L
29/08	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-2	1	3	L

HB Koge (W)

WLWWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	6-0	11	1	W
01/11	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
24/10	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-1	3-2	5	1	W
20/10	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-1	13	2	D
04/10	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
26/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	4-1	7	2	W
19/09	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	4-0	9	1	W
12/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-2	4-6	6	7	L
29/08	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odense BK (W) vs HB Koge (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HB Koge (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Odense BK (W) 5%, draw 11%, HB Koge (W) 84%.

How many goals are expected in Odense BK (W) vs HB Koge (W)?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Odense BK (W) 0.8 · HB Koge (W) 2.8), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Odense BK (W) vs HB Koge (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.