Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 26/07, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Once Caldas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Deportivo Pasto (W)1.12
Once Caldas (W)0.81
1X2
Deportivo Pasto (W)
Draw
Once Caldas (W)
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pasto (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Once Caldas (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Pasto (W)
1–1–1
Once Caldas (W)
(3 last)
- Once Caldas (W)1-0Deportivo Pasto (W)
- Deportivo Pasto (W)2-2Once Caldas (W)
- Once Caldas (W)1-2Deportivo Pasto (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Pasto (W) 1407 · Once Caldas (W) 1440
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | Draw | Once Caldas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | Once Caldas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pasto (W) 1–1–1 Once Caldas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Once Caldas (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pasto (W) |
| 11/06/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas (W) |
| 01/06/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Once Caldas (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 35 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios (W) | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Llaneros (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior (W) | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 8 |
| 14 | Once Caldas (W) | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
| 15 | CD Real Santander (W) | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pasto (W) | Once Caldas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| America de Cali (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Millonarios (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pasto (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 31/03 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/03 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Once Caldas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 22/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/04 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/03 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/03 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Once Caldas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Pasto (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pasto (W) 43%, draw 31%, Once Caldas (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Once Caldas (W)?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Deportivo Pasto (W) 1.12 · Once Caldas (W) 0.81), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Once Caldas (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.