Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 27/07, 21:00

Prediction: Internacional de Bogota (W) vs Fortaleza CEIF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Internacional de Bogota (W)1.79

Fortaleza CEIF (W)0.79

1X2

60% 25% 15%

Internacional de Bogota (W) Draw Fortaleza CEIF (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional de Bogota (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWDL

Fortaleza CEIF (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWLDW

Head-to-head

Internacional de Bogota (W) 1–0 Fortaleza CEIF (W) (1 last)

Fortaleza CEIF (W)0-2Internacional de Bogota (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional de Bogota (W) 1557 · Fortaleza CEIF (W) 1459

	Internacional de Bogota (W)	Draw	Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Our model	60%	25%	15%
Market	60%	25%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional de Bogota (W) (rating 1557 vs 1459).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional de Bogota (W)	Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.60

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +1’	1.50	3.60	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional de Bogota (W) 1–0–0 Fortaleza CEIF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Colombia Liga Femenina	Fortaleza CEIF (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Internacional de Bogota (W)

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional (W)	14	12	0	2	28	6	36
2	Deportivo Cali (W)	14	11	2	1	30	6	35
3	Millonarios (W)	14	8	5	1	28	7	29
4	America de Cali (W)	14	9	2	3	22	7	29
5	Independiente Santa Fe (W)	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
6	Internacional de Bogota (W)	13	7	1	5	19	14	22
7	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	14	6	4	4	13	16	22
8	Independiente Medellin (W)	14	6	1	7	21	18	19
9	Orsomarso (W)	14	3	7	4	14	14	16
10	Fortaleza CEIF (W)	13	3	4	6	9	18	13
11	Llaneros (W)	14	3	4	7	9	24	13
12	Junior (W)	14	2	6	6	11	21	12
13	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	14	3	2	9	12	33	11
14	Once Caldas (W)	13	1	4	8	5	19	7
15	CD Real Santander (W)	13	0	7	6	3	19	7
16	Deportivo Pasto (W)	13	0	3	10	8	24	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional de Bogota (W)	Fortaleza CEIF (W)
America de Cali (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Orsomarso (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	4-0 W	2-1 W
Junior (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional de Bogota (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional de Bogota (W)

WWWLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	7	1	L
23/05	America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
17/05	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	2-1	2	10	W
08/05	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
03/05	Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	2-0	11	3	W
27/04	Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	2-0	4-0	12	3	W
20/04	Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	1-3	5	8	L
30/03	Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	2-1	2-1	2	9	W
25/03	Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/03	Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	2-1	1	3	W

Fortaleza CEIF (W)

LDDLLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
24/05	Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
15/05	Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
10/05	Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
03/05	Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
23/04	Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-3	3	5	L
03/04	America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
29/03	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
24/03	CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
17/03	Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional de Bogota (W) vs Fortaleza CEIF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional de Bogota (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Internacional de Bogota (W) 60%, draw 25%, Fortaleza CEIF (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional de Bogota (W) vs Fortaleza CEIF (W)?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Internacional de Bogota (W) 1.79 · Fortaleza CEIF (W) 0.79), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional de Bogota (W) vs Fortaleza CEIF (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.