Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: TJ Novy Jicin vs Frydek Mistek B

Team pages: TJ Novy Jicin · Frydek Mistek B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

TJ Novy Jicin2.04

Frydek Mistek B1.64

1X2

47% 23% 31%

TJ Novy Jicin Draw Frydek Mistek B

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Novy Jicin 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDLDLD

Frydek Mistek B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWDD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Novy Jicin 1484 · Frydek Mistek B 1503

	TJ Novy Jicin	Draw	Frydek Mistek B
Our model	47%	23%	31%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Novy Jicin	Frydek Mistek B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:57 +12’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Novy Jicin	Frydek Mistek B
Hlucin	1-1 D	1-2 L
Pusta Polom	2-3 L	1-1 D
SSK Bilovec	3-0 W	2-2 D
Bridlicna	4-2 W	4-2 W
FK Bohumin	2-4 L	1-2 L
SK Zabreh	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Novy Jicin

WLWWLDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
18/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	10	4	L
02/10	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
27/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	10	12	L
19/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-2	6	6	W
05/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-4	4	3	L
30/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W

Frydek Mistek B

LLLWWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
25/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	0	0	D
18/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	10	3	W
11/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
04/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
26/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
20/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	4	5	L
29/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Novy Jicin vs Frydek Mistek B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Novy Jicin win (47%). Probabilities: TJ Novy Jicin 47%, draw 23%, Frydek Mistek B 31%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Novy Jicin vs Frydek Mistek B?

The model expects 3.68 goals (TJ Novy Jicin 2.04 · Frydek Mistek B 1.64), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Novy Jicin vs Frydek Mistek B?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.