Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: SSK Bilovec vs SK Stonava

Team pages: SSK Bilovec · SK Stonava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

SSK Bilovec1.43

SK Stonava1.76

1X2

31% 23% 45%

SSK Bilovec Draw SK Stonava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SSK Bilovec 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLDD

SK Stonava 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWLLLW

Head-to-head

SSK Bilovec 1–1 SK Stonava (2 last)

SSK Bilovec1-0SK Stonava
SK Stonava5-0SSK Bilovec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSK Bilovec 1469 · SK Stonava 1494

	SSK Bilovec	Draw	SK Stonava
Our model	30%	25%	44%
Market	32%	21%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SSK Bilovec	SK Stonava
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.4	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X4.20

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.85 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:41 +3’	3.00	4.20	1.85
10:14 +11’	2.80▼	4.20	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SSK Bilovec 1–0–1 SK Stonava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Stonava
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Stonava	5-0 HT 1-0	SSK Bilovec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SSK Bilovec	SK Stonava
TJ Valasske Mezirici	2-2 D	2-2 D
Frydek Mistek B	2-2 D	2-1 W
Jiskra Rymarov	0-5 L	1-0 W
FC Vratimov	2-1 W	1-3 L
Hlucin	0-1 L	4-1 W
Bridlicna	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Stonava (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSK Bilovec

LLWLLDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/10	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	0	0	D
17/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
11/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
04/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	18	4	W
04/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	1	L

SK Stonava

LWWDWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
17/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	3	6	L
03/10	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-1	–	–	W
18/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSK Bilovec vs SK Stonava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Stonava win (45%). Probabilities: SSK Bilovec 31%, draw 23%, SK Stonava 45%.

How many goals are expected in SSK Bilovec vs SK Stonava?

The model expects 3.19 goals (SSK Bilovec 1.43 · SK Stonava 1.76), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SSK Bilovec vs SK Stonava?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.