Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 10:15

Prediction: Bridlicna vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Team pages: Bridlicna · Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

Bridlicna2.66

Frydlant Nad Ostravici1.37

1X2

64% 19% 17%

Bridlicna Draw Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Bridlicna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWLLL

Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Bridlicna 2–2–0 Frydlant Nad Ostravici (4 last)

Bridlicna2-2Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Frydlant Nad Ostravici0-0Bridlicna
Bridlicna3-1Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Frydlant Nad Ostravici1-2Bridlicna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bridlicna 1462 · Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1389

	Bridlicna	Draw	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Our model	64%	19%	17%
Market	64%	19%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bridlicna (rating 1462 vs 1389).
H2H favours Bridlicna: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bridlicna	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.1 / 3.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.6 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	0.3 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:34 +33’	1.40	4.75	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bridlicna 2–2–0 Frydlant Nad Ostravici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	2-2 HT 1-0	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
02/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0-0 HT 0-0	Bridlicna
08/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	3-1 HT 1-0	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
05/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	1-2 HT 0-1	Bridlicna

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bridlicna	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
SK Stonava	1-2 L	1-4 L
TJ Valasske Mezirici	0-1 L	0-6 L
Frydek Mistek B	2-4 L	1-5 L
Jiskra Rymarov	2-1 W	2-5 L
FC Vratimov	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Sumperk	2-1 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Bridlicna (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bridlicna

WLLDWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
18/10	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
10/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
03/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
27/09	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-4	1	6	L
06/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	1	W

Frydlant Nad Ostravici

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
25/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-4	–	–	L
10/10	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	3	9	W
03/10	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
26/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	0-6	–	–	L
20/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
05/09	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
29/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-5	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bridlicna vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bridlicna win (64%). Probabilities: Bridlicna 64%, draw 19%, Frydlant Nad Ostravici 17%.

How many goals are expected in Bridlicna vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici?

The model expects 4.02 goals (Bridlicna 2.66 · Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1.37), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bridlicna vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.