Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Pusta Polom vs TJ Valasske Mezirici

Team pages: Pusta Polom · TJ Valasske Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Pusta Polom1.84

TJ Valasske Mezirici1.78

1X2

40% 23% 37%

Pusta Polom Draw TJ Valasske Mezirici

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Pusta Polom 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLDLWD

TJ Valasske Mezirici 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Pusta Polom 1–1 TJ Valasske Mezirici (2 last)

TJ Valasske Mezirici3-1Pusta Polom
Pusta Polom3-0TJ Valasske Mezirici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pusta Polom 1475 · TJ Valasske Mezirici 1558

	Pusta Polom	Draw	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Valasske Mezirici (rating 1475 vs 1558).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pusta Polom	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	2.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5	3.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.8	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:57 +12’	2.25	4.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pusta Polom 1–0–1 TJ Valasske Mezirici

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3-1 HT 1-1	Pusta Polom
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Pusta Polom	3-0 HT 1-0	TJ Valasske Mezirici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pusta Polom	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Frydek Mistek B	1-1 D	4-2 W
Jiskra Rymarov	2-0 W	2-2 D
Hlucin	1-4 L	2-5 L
SSK Bilovec	0-1 L	2-2 D
Bridlicna	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Bohumin	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Valasske Mezirici (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pusta Polom

LWLLWLDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
25/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	3-4	2	4	L
11/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
04/10	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	7	L
27/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	8	12	W
18/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
13/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	4	L

TJ Valasske Mezirici

DWLDWWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
17/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	5-0	6-0	–	–	W
18/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
12/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
06/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	5	5	W
29/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pusta Polom vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pusta Polom win (40%). Probabilities: Pusta Polom 40%, draw 23%, TJ Valasske Mezirici 37%.

How many goals are expected in Pusta Polom vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Pusta Polom 1.84 · TJ Valasske Mezirici 1.78), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pusta Polom vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.