Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 10:15

Prediction: FC Kurim vs FS Trebic

Team pages: FC Kurim · FS Trebic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

FC Kurim2.87

FS Trebic1.08

1X2

74% 15% 11%

FC Kurim Draw FS Trebic

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kurim 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWWWD

FS Trebic 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWDWDW

Head-to-head

FC Kurim 3–1–0 FS Trebic (4 last)

FS Trebic0-3FC Kurim
FC Kurim1-1FS Trebic
FC Kurim3-0FS Trebic
FS Trebic0-7FC Kurim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kurim 1584 · FS Trebic 1541

	FC Kurim	Draw	FS Trebic
Our model	73%	16%	11%
Market	74%	15%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kurim (rating 1584 vs 1541).
H2H favours FC Kurim: 3-1-0.
High corners: 15.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kurim	FS Trebic
Goals for / against (FT)	4 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.5	2.3 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
05:49 +18’	1.22	6.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kurim 3–1–0 FS Trebic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Kurim
23/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	1-1 HT 1-0	FS Trebic
15/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	3-0 HT 1-0	FS Trebic
11/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	0-7 HT 0-2	FC Kurim

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kurim	FS Trebic
TJ Sokol Bedrichov	13-0 W	1-0 W
Velke Mezirici	3-0 W	1-1 D
FK Pelhrimov	2-4 L	4-2 W
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	6-1 W	2-2 D
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-3 L	1-0 W
Sokol Tasovice	1-1 D	1-1 D
Havlickuv Brod	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kurim

WDLWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
24/10	FC Dosta Bystrc-Kninicky Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	7-0	10	1	W
18/10	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	5	5	W
10/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	13-0	–	–	W
03/10	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
27/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	2-4	–	–	L
19/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	6-1	4	4	W
12/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
05/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	2	W

FS Trebic

WLWWDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/10	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
17/10	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	4-2	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
19/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-6	10	2	L
28/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kurim vs FS Trebic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kurim win (74%). Probabilities: FC Kurim 74%, draw 15%, FS Trebic 11%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kurim vs FS Trebic?

The model expects 3.95 goals (FC Kurim 2.87 · FS Trebic 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kurim vs FS Trebic?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.