Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: SFK Holesov vs FC Strani

Team pages: SFK Holesov · FC Strani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

SFK Holesov1.15

FC Strani2.91

1X2

12% 15% 73%

SFK Holesov Draw FC Strani

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Holesov 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLWLWD

FC Strani 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

SFK Holesov 0–1–3 FC Strani (4 last)

FC Strani3-1SFK Holesov
SFK Holesov1-1FC Strani
FC Strani2-1SFK Holesov
SFK Holesov1-2FC Strani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Holesov 1473 · FC Strani 1578

	SFK Holesov	Draw	FC Strani
Our model	12%	16%	73%
Market	12%	15%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Strani (rating 1473 vs 1578).
H2H favours FC Strani: 3-1-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Holesov	FC Strani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	4.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5	4.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.50

X6.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.93

2 (-2)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +3’	7.50	6.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Holesov 0–1–3 FC Strani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Strani	3-1 HT 0-0	SFK Holesov
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Strani
28/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Strani	2-1 HT 1-0	SFK Holesov
23/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Strani

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Holesov	FC Strani
Bzenec	2-2 D	6-3 W
Tatran Vsechovice	2-1 W	4-3 W
Slavicin	0-2 L	2-1 W
TJ MILO Olomouc	4-3 W	9-0 W
SK Krumvir	0-1 L	5-0 W
FC Brumov	3-3 D	9-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Strani (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFK Holesov

DLLDDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/10	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	10	2	L
10/10	TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-3	–	–	W
04/10	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
12/09	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
30/08	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-3	5	2	D

FC Strani

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	5-1	9-1	5	4	W
23/10	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	6-0	10	4	W
17/10	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
04/10	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
27/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	4	5	W
19/09	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	6-3	9	5	W
12/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
05/09	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	9-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Holesov vs FC Strani?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Strani win (73%). Probabilities: SFK Holesov 12%, draw 15%, FC Strani 73%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Holesov vs FC Strani?

The model expects 4.06 goals (SFK Holesov 1.15 · FC Strani 2.91), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Holesov vs FC Strani?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.