Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Breclav vs Bzenec

Team pages: Breclav · Bzenec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

Breclav2.11

Bzenec1.75

1X2

45% 23% 31%

Breclav Draw Bzenec

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Breclav 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Bzenec 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Breclav 1–4 Bzenec (5 last)

Bzenec1-0Breclav
Bzenec7-2Breclav
Breclav3-0Bzenec
Breclav1-3Bzenec
Breclav0-3Bzenec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breclav 1452 · Bzenec 1483

	Breclav	Draw	Bzenec
Our model	46%	22%	32%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bzenec: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breclav	Bzenec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	2.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:50 +19’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Breclav 1–0–4 Bzenec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Czechia Cup	Bzenec	1-0	Breclav
02/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	7-2 HT 4-1	Breclav
27/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Breclav	3-0 HT 2-0	Bzenec
14/03/23 Club Friendly List	Breclav	1-3	Bzenec
15/06/18 Czechia 4. Liga	Breclav	0-3 HT 0-1	Bzenec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breclav	Bzenec
Tatran Vsechovice	0-5 L	0-4 L
Slavicin	0-2 L	3-4 L
SK Krumvir	0-1 L	1-3 L
SFK Holesov	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Brumov	5-2 W	3-1 W
SK Batov	2-1 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breclav

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
24/10	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
17/10	TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/10	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
04/10	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
26/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-2	6	2	W
29/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Bzenec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/10	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/10	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	5-0	7-0	–	–	W
10/10	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	2	4	L
03/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-6	2	5	L
12/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	9	7	L
05/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breclav vs Bzenec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breclav win (45%). Probabilities: Breclav 45%, draw 23%, Bzenec 31%.

How many goals are expected in Breclav vs Bzenec?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Breclav 2.11 · Bzenec 1.75), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Breclav vs Bzenec?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.