Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 03/10, 10:15

Prediction: FC Vratimov vs Bridlicna

Team pages: FC Vratimov · Bridlicna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

FC Vratimov2.35

Bridlicna1.11

1X2

65% 19% 16%

FC Vratimov Draw Bridlicna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vratimov 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLWW

Bridlicna 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWLLDW

Head-to-head

FC Vratimov 5–1 Bridlicna (6 last)

Bridlicna0-2FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov3-1Bridlicna
Bridlicna1-0FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov3-2Bridlicna
Bridlicna0-3FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov3-0Bridlicna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vratimov 1591 · Bridlicna 1450

	FC Vratimov	Draw	Bridlicna
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	65%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vratimov (rating 1591 vs 1450).
H2H favours FC Vratimov: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vratimov	Bridlicna
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.4	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:18 +4’	1.38	4.75	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vratimov 5–0–1 Bridlicna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Vratimov
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	3-1 HT 2-1	Bridlicna
12/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Vratimov
07/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	3-2 HT 1-0	Bridlicna
04/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	0-3 HT 0-3	FC Vratimov
28/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	3-0 HT 2-0	Bridlicna

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	8	6	0	2	19	11	18
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
8	TJ Novy Jicin	8	4	1	3	17	16	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vratimov	Bridlicna
FK Bohumin	3-2 W	2-4 L
SK Zabreh	3-1 W	0-2 L
Opava B	0-3 L	1-1 D
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK Sumperk	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vratimov (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vratimov

WWLWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
13/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	4	W

Bridlicna

DDLLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-4	1	6	L
06/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
21/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	6	2	L
16/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	7	7	L
08/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/06	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
06/06	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vratimov vs Bridlicna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vratimov win (65%). Probabilities: FC Vratimov 65%, draw 19%, Bridlicna 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vratimov vs Bridlicna?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FC Vratimov 2.35 · Bridlicna 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vratimov vs Bridlicna?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.