Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 11/10, 10:15

Prediction: Meteor Prague VIII vs FK Ostrov

Team pages: Meteor Prague VIII · FK Ostrov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Meteor Prague VIII2.34

FK Ostrov1.64

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Meteor Prague VIII Draw FK Ostrov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Meteor Prague VIII 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWLWW

FK Ostrov 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDLLWW

Head-to-head

Meteor Prague VIII 2–1–3 FK Ostrov (6 last)

FK Ostrov2-3Meteor Prague VIII
Meteor Prague VIII1-1FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov2-0Meteor Prague VIII
Meteor Prague VIII1-0FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov2-0Meteor Prague VIII
Meteor Prague VIII1-2FK Ostrov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meteor Prague VIII 1514 · FK Ostrov 1467

	Meteor Prague VIII	Draw	FK Ostrov
Our model	53%	21%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Meteor Prague VIII (rating 1514 vs 1467).
H2H favours FK Ostrov: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meteor Prague VIII	FK Ostrov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.8	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:38 +32’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Meteor Prague VIII 2–1–3 FK Ostrov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	2-3 HT 2-0	Meteor Prague VIII
31/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Ostrov
29/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	2-0 HT 1-0	Meteor Prague VIII
01/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Ostrov
20/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	2-0 HT 1-0	Meteor Prague VIII
24/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Ostrov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	9	8	0	1	33	11	24
2	Kravare	9	7	1	1	23	12	22
3	FC Vratimov	9	7	0	2	19	12	21
4	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
5	SK Stonava	9	5	2	2	20	12	17
6	Jiskra Rymarov	9	4	2	3	21	16	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	9	4	1	4	18	18	13
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	9	3	3	3	21	17	12
10	SK Zabreh	9	3	2	4	11	12	11
11	Pusta Polom	9	3	1	5	13	18	10
12	Frydek Mistek B	9	3	0	6	16	21	9
13	FK Sumperk	9	2	2	5	12	15	8
14	Bridlicna	9	2	1	6	12	21	7
15	SSK Bilovec	9	1	2	6	5	18	5
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	9	0	0	9	8	38	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meteor Prague VIII	FK Ostrov
Banik Sokolov	0-1 L	2-1 W
Chomutov	0-4 L	2-1 W
SK Rapid Psary	0-3 L	1-3 L
Slavoj Vysehrad	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Ostrov (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meteor Prague VIII

WWLLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
27/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	7-2	6	1	W
23/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
19/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
13/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
06/09	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
29/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	0	L
15/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
09/08	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
10/06	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	10	4	W

FK Ostrov

WLLLWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
23/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-3	6	8	L
19/09	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
06/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
29/08	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	4	11	L
16/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
08/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
13/06	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meteor Prague VIII vs FK Ostrov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Meteor Prague VIII win (52%). Probabilities: Meteor Prague VIII 52%, draw 22%, FK Ostrov 26%.

How many goals are expected in Meteor Prague VIII vs FK Ostrov?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Meteor Prague VIII 2.34 · FK Ostrov 1.64), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Meteor Prague VIII vs FK Ostrov?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.