Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 11/10, 14:30

Prediction: SSK Bilovec vs FC Vratimov

Team pages: SSK Bilovec · FC Vratimov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

SSK Bilovec0.96

FC Vratimov1.82

1X2

20% 23% 58%

SSK Bilovec Draw FC Vratimov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SSK Bilovec 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Vratimov 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SSK Bilovec 2–1–3 FC Vratimov (6 last)

FC Vratimov2-2SSK Bilovec
SSK Bilovec1-0FC Vratimov
SSK Bilovec0-1FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov1-0SSK Bilovec
SSK Bilovec1-4FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov2-3SSK Bilovec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSK Bilovec 1446 · FC Vratimov 1563

	SSK Bilovec	Draw	FC Vratimov
Our model	19%	25%	56%
Market	21%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vratimov (rating 1446 vs 1563).
H2H favours FC Vratimov: 3-1-2.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SSK Bilovec	FC Vratimov
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.2	2.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.6	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.33

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:26 +12’	4.33	4.33	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SSK Bilovec 2–1–3 FC Vratimov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	2-2 HT 1-2	SSK Bilovec
12/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Vratimov
27/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Vratimov
21/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	1-0 HT 1-0	SSK Bilovec
24/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	1-4 HT 0-3	FC Vratimov
19/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	2-3 HT 1-1	SSK Bilovec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	9	8	0	1	33	11	24
2	Kravare	9	7	1	1	23	12	22
3	FC Vratimov	9	7	0	2	19	12	21
4	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
5	SK Stonava	9	5	2	2	20	12	17
6	Jiskra Rymarov	9	4	2	3	21	16	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	9	4	1	4	18	18	13
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	9	3	3	3	21	17	12
10	SK Zabreh	9	3	2	4	11	12	11
11	Pusta Polom	9	3	1	5	13	18	10
12	Frydek Mistek B	9	3	0	6	16	21	9
13	FK Sumperk	9	2	2	5	12	15	8
14	Bridlicna	9	2	1	6	12	21	7
15	SSK Bilovec	9	1	2	6	5	18	5
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	9	0	0	9	8	38	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SSK Bilovec	FC Vratimov
FK Sumperk	1-1 D	2-0 W
Bridlicna	1-3 L	2-1 W
FK Bohumin	0-5 L	3-2 W
SK Zabreh	1-2 L	3-1 W
Opava B	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vratimov (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSK Bilovec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	18	4	W
04/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
23/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	2	2	L
16/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
13/06	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

FC Vratimov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
27/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
13/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSK Bilovec vs FC Vratimov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Vratimov win (58%). Probabilities: SSK Bilovec 20%, draw 23%, FC Vratimov 58%.

How many goals are expected in SSK Bilovec vs FC Vratimov?

The model expects 2.78 goals (SSK Bilovec 0.96 · FC Vratimov 1.82), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SSK Bilovec vs FC Vratimov?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.