Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 03/10, 10:30

Prediction: Sparta Brno vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Team pages: Sparta Brno · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Sparta Brno2.02

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1.34

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Sparta Brno Draw SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Brno 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLWLWW

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDLWLW

Head-to-head

Sparta Brno 2–0 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou (2 last)

Sparta Brno2-1SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou0-1Sparta Brno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1507 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1468

	Sparta Brno	Draw	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Our model	52%	23%	24%
Market	53%	22%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sparta Brno: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Brno	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	3.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:01 +24’	1.70	4.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Brno 2–0–0 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	2-1 HT 0-1	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
17/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	0-1 HT 0-0	Sparta Brno

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	8	6	0	2	19	11	18
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
8	TJ Novy Jicin	8	4	1	3	17	16	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Brno	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-1 W	1-1 D
Sokol Tasovice	3-2 W	1-3 L
SC Znojmo	0-3 L	2-1 W
FC Kurim	1-3 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Brno (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Brno

LWLDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
19/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
12/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
16/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
08/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
13/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
06/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	4	L

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

LWLDLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	1-6	3	4	L
13/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
06/09	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	6	5	L
30/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	15	5	D
23/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
15/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
13/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Brno win (52%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 52%, draw 23%, SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 25%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Sparta Brno 2.02 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.