Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 10:15

Prediction: FC Vratimov vs SK Zabreh

Team pages: FC Vratimov · SK Zabreh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

FC Vratimov1.98

SK Zabreh1.17

1X2

56% 23% 21%

FC Vratimov Draw SK Zabreh

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vratimov 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWL

SK Zabreh 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDLLW

Head-to-head

FC Vratimov 0–1–1 SK Zabreh (2 last)

SK Zabreh1-0FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov1-1SK Zabreh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vratimov 1561 · SK Zabreh 1524

	FC Vratimov	Draw	SK Zabreh
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vratimov	SK Zabreh
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.4	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:18 +2’	1.60	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vratimov 0–1–1 SK Zabreh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zabreh	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Vratimov
30/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	1-1 HT 1-1	SK Zabreh

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vratimov	SK Zabreh
TJ Valasske Mezirici	2-0 W	8-1 W
FK Sumperk	2-0 W	1-0 W
MFK Havirov	3-0 W	1-4 L
Bridlicna	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vratimov (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vratimov

WWWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
30/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	3	2	W
23/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

SK Zabreh

LDWWWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
06/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
23/08	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	7-2	–	–	W
05/06	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	8-1	–	–	W
31/05	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vratimov vs SK Zabreh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vratimov win (56%). Probabilities: FC Vratimov 56%, draw 23%, SK Zabreh 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vratimov vs SK Zabreh?

The model expects 3.14 goals (FC Vratimov 1.98 · SK Zabreh 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vratimov vs SK Zabreh?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.