Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 10:15

Prediction: FC Kurim vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Team pages: FC Kurim · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

FC Kurim2.48

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1.03

1X2

68% 19% 13%

FC Kurim Draw SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kurim 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Kurim 2–2–1 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou (5 last)

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1-1FC Kurim
FC Kurim2-0SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou0-0FC Kurim
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1-3FC Kurim
FC Kurim1-2SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kurim 1514 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1448

	FC Kurim	Draw	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Our model	68%	19%	13%
Market	68%	19%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kurim (rating 1514 vs 1448).
H2H favours FC Kurim: 2-2-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kurim	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.1	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.4	3.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +8’	1.33	4.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kurim 2–2–1 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Czechia Cup	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Kurim
07/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	2-0 HT 2-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
03/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kurim
04/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Kurim
29/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	1-2 HT 0-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kurim	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-3 L	1-1 D
Sokol Tasovice	1-1 D	1-3 L
SC Znojmo	1-2 L	2-1 W
FK Pelhrimov	8-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kurim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
05/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
22/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	8-1	3	3	W
13/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
30/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	8-1	–	–	W

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
06/09	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	6	5	L
30/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	15	5	D
23/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
15/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
13/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
31/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
24/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kurim vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kurim win (68%). Probabilities: FC Kurim 68%, draw 19%, SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 13%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kurim vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model expects 3.51 goals (FC Kurim 2.48 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kurim vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.