Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 10:30

Prediction: Sparta Brno vs Sokol Tasovice

Team pages: Sparta Brno · Sokol Tasovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Sparta Brno1.78

Sokol Tasovice1.68

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Sparta Brno Draw Sokol Tasovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Brno 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Sokol Tasovice 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sparta Brno 1–1 Sokol Tasovice (2 last)

Sokol Tasovice5-2Sparta Brno
Sparta Brno4-0Sokol Tasovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1479 · Sokol Tasovice 1535

	Sparta Brno	Draw	Sokol Tasovice
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Tasovice (rating 1479 vs 1535).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Brno	Sokol Tasovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:16 +4’	2.25	3.70	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Brno 1–0–1 Sokol Tasovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	5-2 HT 0-2	Sparta Brno
20/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	4-0 HT 1-0	Sokol Tasovice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Brno	Sokol Tasovice
FS Trebic	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Kurim	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Tasovice (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Brno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
16/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
08/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
13/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
06/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
31/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
23/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	3	L

Sokol Tasovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
30/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	12	1	W
21/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
09/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	10	4	W
07/06	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	5-2	6	4	W
30/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs Sokol Tasovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Brno win (40%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 40%, draw 24%, Sokol Tasovice 36%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Sparta Brno 1.78 · Sokol Tasovice 1.68), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.