Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Chotebor vs SC Znojmo

Team pages: FC Chotebor · SC Znojmo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

FC Chotebor1.08

SC Znojmo2.17

1X2

18% 21% 62%

FC Chotebor Draw SC Znojmo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Chotebor 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLLWD

SC Znojmo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWDWWW

Head-to-head

FC Chotebor 0–2 SC Znojmo (2 last)

SC Znojmo3-1FC Chotebor
FC Chotebor0-2SC Znojmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Chotebor 1434 · SC Znojmo 1578

	FC Chotebor	Draw	SC Znojmo
Our model	17%	22%	61%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Znojmo (rating 1434 vs 1578).
H2H favours SC Znojmo: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Chotebor	SC Znojmo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	3.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.82

2 (-1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:43 +6’	5.00	4.50	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Chotebor 0–0–2 SC Znojmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SC Znojmo	3-1 HT 0-0	FC Chotebor
19/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Chotebor	0-2 HT 0-0	SC Znojmo

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Chotebor	SC Znojmo
Zdar nad Sazavou	2-0 W	2-0 W
FS Trebic	0-2 L	6-1 W
Sparta Brno	0-2 L	3-0 W
Dosta Bystrc	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Kurim	1-8 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SC Znojmo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Chotebor

LWLLLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
28/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-8	2	3	L
13/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	8	4	L

SC Znojmo

WWWLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
05/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	6-1	5	2	W
29/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
15/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/06	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	10-1	3	1	W
31/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
24/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Chotebor vs SC Znojmo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Znojmo win (62%). Probabilities: FC Chotebor 18%, draw 21%, SC Znojmo 62%.

How many goals are expected in FC Chotebor vs SC Znojmo?

The model expects 3.25 goals (FC Chotebor 1.08 · SC Znojmo 2.17), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Chotebor vs SC Znojmo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.