Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 12/09, 11:00

Prediction: Bridlicna vs TJ Novy Jicin

Team pages: Bridlicna · TJ Novy Jicin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Bridlicna1.99

TJ Novy Jicin1.36

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Bridlicna Draw TJ Novy Jicin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bridlicna 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLLWL

TJ Novy Jicin 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDWLWL

Head-to-head

Bridlicna 2–2 TJ Novy Jicin (4 last)

Bridlicna1-2TJ Novy Jicin
TJ Novy Jicin3-2Bridlicna
TJ Novy Jicin0-2Bridlicna
Bridlicna1-0TJ Novy Jicin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bridlicna 1424 · TJ Novy Jicin 1501

	Bridlicna	Draw	TJ Novy Jicin
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Novy Jicin (rating 1424 vs 1501).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bridlicna	TJ Novy Jicin
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.8	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:36 +4’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bridlicna 2–0–2 TJ Novy Jicin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	1-2 HT 0-1	TJ Novy Jicin
28/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	3-2 HT 1-0	Bridlicna
18/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	0-2 HT 0-1	Bridlicna
12/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	1-0 HT 1-0	TJ Novy Jicin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
7	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
9	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
10	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
11	TJ Novy Jicin	5	2	1	2	8	11	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bridlicna	TJ Novy Jicin
Pusta Polom	0-1 L	0-0 D
FK Bohumin	2-4 L	2-4 L
SK Zabreh	0-2 L	1-0 W
Opava B	1-1 D	2-5 L
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2-2 D	1-0 W
SK Stonava	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Novy Jicin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bridlicna

LLLDDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
21/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	6	2	L
16/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	7	7	L
08/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/06	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
06/06	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
30/05	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	6	6	L

TJ Novy Jicin

DWDWLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-4	4	3	L
30/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
22/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	2-5	3	2	L
15/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-7	–	–	L
05/06	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
31/05	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/05	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/05	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bridlicna vs TJ Novy Jicin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bridlicna win (52%). Probabilities: Bridlicna 52%, draw 23%, TJ Novy Jicin 25%.

How many goals are expected in Bridlicna vs TJ Novy Jicin?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Bridlicna 1.99 · TJ Novy Jicin 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bridlicna vs TJ Novy Jicin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.