Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 12/09, 10:15

Prediction: TJ Tatran Bohunice vs FC Kurim

Team pages: TJ Tatran Bohunice · FC Kurim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

TJ Tatran Bohunice1.86

FC Kurim1.43

1X2

47% 24% 29%

TJ Tatran Bohunice Draw FC Kurim

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Tatran Bohunice 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWDWDW

FC Kurim 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWWD

Head-to-head

TJ Tatran Bohunice 0–3–3 FC Kurim (6 last)

FC Kurim3-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice2-2FC Kurim
TJ Tatran Bohunice0-2FC Kurim
FC Kurim3-0TJ Tatran Bohunice
FC Kurim0-0TJ Tatran Bohunice
FC Kurim1-1TJ Tatran Bohunice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1562 · FC Kurim 1535

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Draw	FC Kurim
Our model	47%	25%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Kurim: 3-3-0.
High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	FC Kurim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 8.8	3.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:33 +1’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Tatran Bohunice 0–3–3 FC Kurim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	3-1 HT 1-1	TJ Tatran Bohunice
16/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Kurim
08/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Kurim
03/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	3-0 HT 1-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
25/02/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Kurim	0-0 HT 0-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
30/04/22 Czechia 5. Liga	FC Kurim	1-1 HT 1-1	TJ Tatran Bohunice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
7	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
9	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
10	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
11	TJ Novy Jicin	5	2	1	2	8	11	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Tatran Bohunice	FC Kurim
FK Pelhrimov	2-1 W	8-1 W
Havlickuv Brod	2-1 W	3-1 W
Sokol Tasovice	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Tatran Bohunice

WWWLDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	8	5	W
28/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	14	5	D
23/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
12/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
30/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	13	5	W
24/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	3	W
16/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	12	1	W

FC Kurim

WWLWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
22/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	8-1	3	3	W
13/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
30/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	8-1	–	–	W
16/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs FC Kurim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Tatran Bohunice win (47%). Probabilities: TJ Tatran Bohunice 47%, draw 24%, FC Kurim 29%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs FC Kurim?

The model expects 3.28 goals (TJ Tatran Bohunice 1.86 · FC Kurim 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs FC Kurim?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.